Massachusetts @ Central Mich Matchup Analysis

Central Mich

Sat, Oct 25

12:30 PM Pacific

Rotation: 125

Odds: Central Mich -16, Total: 46.5

Game Analysis

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Lean – CENTRAL MICHIGAN (-16) 35 Massachusetts 14

My math model only favors Central Michigan by 16 points but UMass applies to a 14-50-1 ATS situation that applies to winless teams (0-7 or worse) on the road while Central Michigan applies to a 91-26-2 ATS big home favorite situation. I’ll lean with Chippewas against a UMass team that has lost all 3 of their road games by 36 points or more (including a 6-42 loss to a horrible Kent State team) and could be emotionally depressed after blowing last week’s game against Buffalo.