Kentucky @

Mississippi

Sat, Oct 1
ESPN
9:00 AM Pacific
Rotation: 175
Odds: Mississippi -6.5, Total: 54.5

Game Analysis

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Lean – Under (54.5) – MISSISSIPPI (-6.5)  26   Kentucky  21

Mississippi’s offense gets all the publicity but the Rebels’ defense has allowed an average of just 10 points per game and 4.3 yards per play to 4 teams that would combine to average 5.3 yppl against an average defense. Kentucky has been below average offensively but should perk up with the debut of superstar RB Chris Rodriguez, who ran for 1379 yards at 6.1 ypr last season but was suspended for the first 4 games of this campaign. I expect Kavosley Smoke (5.1 yprp  since the beginning of last season and 5.2 ypr this season) to get the start but Rodriguez will take the reps of backups that have combined for just 3.0 ypr on 42 runs this season.

Kentucky’s defense is just as good as the Ole’Miss offense and I think it will be a challenge for these teams to top 54 total points. I’ll lean Under 54 points or more.

  • Team Stats
  • Game Log
  • Kentucky
  • Mississippi
KY
Offense
Defense

Rush

  • Run Plays 28.5 27.5
  • Run Yards 111.5 121.3
  • YPRP 3.9 4.4




Pass





  • Pass Comp 19.8 14.8
  • Pass Att 29.3 29.3
  • Comp % 67.5% 50.4%
  • Pass Yards 295.8 164.8
  • Sacks 4.0 1.5
  • Sack Yards 22.8 9.8
  • Sack % 12.0% 4.9%
  • Pass Plays 33.3 30.8
  • Net Pass Yards 273.0 155.0
  • YPPP 8.2 5.0

Total

  • Total Plays 61.8 58.3
  • Total Yards 384.5 276.3
  • YPPL 6.2 4.7

TO


  • Int 1.0 0.8
  • Int % 3.4% 2.6%
  • Fumbles 0.5 0.3
  • Turnovers 1.5 1.0
 
  • Points 31.3 13.0
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