Game Analysis
GEORGIA (-25) 31 Kentucky 10
Kentucky went with top receiver Lynn Bowden Jr. at quarterback last week in their win over Arkansas and he completed 7 of 11 passes (with one sack) for a decent 6.5 yards per pass play while adding 202 yards on 23 runs. Sawyer Smith, how replaced injured starter Terry Wilson, is available to play but he also practiced last week and didn’t play and I think the Wildcats are better off sticking with Bowden, who was a quarterback in high school and is certainly an upgrade over the wildly inaccurate Smith, who was completing just 46% of his passes and isn’t a runner.
Georgia should be focused here but running quarterbacks tend to disrupt elite defenses (ask Nick Saban about that) and I like Kentucky to stay within the big number assuming Bowden is back behind center. The Wildcats pace of play is also VERY slow with so many runs and the fewer possessions there are the more likely the big dog covers the spread.
Rush
-
Run Plays
35.6
33.6
-
Run Yards
175.4
166.0
-
YPRP
5.4
5.6
Pass
-
Pass Comp
15.6
16.6
-
Pass Att
25.4
26.6
-
Comp %
61.6%
62.7%
-
Pass Yards
174.2
195.1
-
Sacks
2.7
3.0
-
Sack Yards
16.0
21.1
-
Sack %
9.7%
10.0%
-
Pass Plays
28.1
29.5
-
Net Pass Yards
158.3
174.0
-
YPPP
5.6
5.9
Total
-
Total Plays
63.8
63.1
-
Total Yards
349.6
361.1
-
YPPL
5.5
5.7
TO
-
Int
0.6
0.5
-
Int %
2.3%
1.9%
-
Fumbles
0.7
1.0
-
Turnovers
1.3
1.5
Rush
-
Run Plays
37.5
30.2
-
Run Yards
235.2
125.4
-
YPRP
6.5
4.7
Pass
-
Pass Comp
18.5
18.1
-
Pass Att
27.7
29.6
-
Comp %
66.9%
61.1%
-
Pass Yards
236.6
176.2
-
Sacks
1.3
2.2
-
Sack Yards
8.2
15.2
-
Sack %
4.5%
7.0%
-
Pass Plays
29.0
31.8
-
Net Pass Yards
228.4
161.0
-
YPPP
7.9
5.1
Total
-
Total Plays
66.5
62.0
-
Total Yards
471.8
301.5
-
YPPL
7.1
4.9
TO
-
Int
0.5
0.5
-
Int %
1.7%
1.7%
-
Fumbles
0.7
0.5
-
Turnovers
1.2
1.0
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
2019 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
10/06/18 @ Texas A&M |
14-20 |
+5.5
L
|
24/40 |
98/206 |
4.1/5.2 |
0/1 |
13/18 |
20/29 |
83/199 |
0/1 |
6/4 |
3.2/6.0 |
181/405 |
3.6/5.5 |
10/20/18 Vanderbilt |
14-7 |
-12.5
L
|
51/27 |
282/98 |
5.5/3.6 |
2/2 |
3/15 |
9/23 |
18/179 |
0/0 |
0/4 |
2.0/6.6 |
300/277 |
5.0/5.1 |
10/27/18 @ Missouri |
15-14 |
+7.0
W
|
32/33 |
107/101 |
3.3/3.1 |
0/0 |
25/15 |
39/27 |
278/148 |
1/0 |
3/2 |
6.6/5.1 |
385/249 |
5.2/4.0 |
11/03/18 Georgia |
17-34 |
+8.5
L
|
31/47 |
117/342 |
3.8/7.3 |
2/2 |
23/14 |
29/20 |
193/113 |
0/0 |
4/0 |
5.8/5.7 |
310/455 |
4.8/6.8 |
11/10/18 @ Tennessee |
7-24 |
-5.0
L
|
29/37 |
125/221 |
4.3/6.0 |
1/2 |
23/11 |
38/19 |
152/151 |
2/0 |
5/1 |
3.5/7.6 |
277/372 |
3.8/6.5 |
11/17/18 Middle Tenn St |
34-23 |
-14.0
L
|
38/31 |
218/146 |
5.7/4.7 |
0/1 |
10/30 |
14/33 |
110/241 |
0/1 |
1/7 |
7.3/6.0 |
328/387 |
6.2/5.5 |
11/24/18 @ Louisville |
56-10 |
-16.5
W
|
43/28 |
344/215 |
8.0/7.7 |
0/0 |
17/8 |
23/16 |
260/108 |
1/0 |
1/2 |
10.8/6.0 |
604/323 |
9.0/7.0 |
01/01/19 @ Penn St. |
27-24 |
+6.0
W
|
38/34 |
190/197 |
5.0/5.8 |
0/1 |
9/17 |
15/33 |
107/210 |
0/1 |
4/5 |
5.6/5.5 |
297/407 |
5.2/5.7 |
08/31/19 Toledo |
38-24 |
-11.5
W
|
36/35 |
194/206 |
5.4/5.9 |
2/1 |
19/11 |
26/25 |
241/138 |
0/1 |
1/4 |
8.9/4.8 |
435/344 |
6.9/5.4 |
09/07/19 Eastern Mich |
38-17 |
-15.5
W
|
37/20 |
240/67 |
6.5/3.4 |
1/0 |
20/34 |
36/53 |
220/302 |
0/2 |
2/2 |
5.8/5.5 |
460/369 |
6.1/4.9 |
09/14/19 Florida |
21-29 |
+9.0
W
|
40/25 |
151/72 |
3.8/2.9 |
1/1 |
23/21 |
35/30 |
259/295 |
3/1 |
1/1 |
7.2/9.5 |
410/367 |
5.4/6.6 |
09/21/19 @ Mississippi St. |
13-28 |
+6.0
L
|
24/36 |
171/259 |
7.1/7.2 |
0/1 |
15/17 |
42/22 |
216/166 |
1/1 |
3/2 |
4.8/6.9 |
387/425 |
5.6/7.1 |
09/28/19 @ South Carolina |
7-24 |
+3.0
L
|
24/42 |
152/258 |
6.3/6.1 |
1/1 |
13/15 |
34/27 |
63/125 |
1/0 |
4/3 |
1.7/4.2 |
215/383 |
3.5/5.3 |
10/12/19 Arkansas |
24-20 |
-7.0
L
|
51/27 |
339/202 |
6.6/7.5 |
1/0 |
8/12 |
12/27 |
81/104 |
0/0 |
1/3 |
6.2/3.5 |
420/306 |
6.6/5.4 |
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
2019 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
09/29/18 Tennessee |
38-12 |
-31.0
L
|
46/22 |
239/76 |
5.2/3.5 |
0/1 |
17/13 |
24/21 |
173/135 |
0/0 |
3/2 |
6.4/5.9 |
412/211 |
5.6/4.7 |
10/06/18 Vanderbilt |
41-13 |
-26.0
W
|
31/28 |
233/142 |
7.5/5.1 |
0/0 |
21/16 |
31/30 |
335/179 |
0/0 |
1/1 |
10.5/5.8 |
568/321 |
9.0/5.4 |
10/13/18 @ LSU |
16-36 |
-7.0
L
|
26/46 |
136/300 |
5.2/6.5 |
2/0 |
16/15 |
34/30 |
188/177 |
2/0 |
3/3 |
5.1/5.4 |
324/477 |
5.1/6.0 |
10/27/18 Florida |
36-17 |
-6.5
W
|
39/36 |
195/181 |
5.0/5.0 |
0/2 |
17/13 |
24/21 |
235/99 |
0/1 |
1/1 |
9.4/4.5 |
430/280 |
6.7/4.8 |
11/03/18 @ Kentucky |
34-17 |
-8.5
W
|
47/31 |
342/117 |
7.3/3.8 |
2/2 |
14/23 |
20/29 |
113/193 |
0/0 |
0/4 |
5.7/5.8 |
455/310 |
6.8/4.8 |
11/10/18 Auburn |
27-10 |
-12.5
W
|
42/20 |
329/102 |
7.8/5.1 |
0/0 |
15/25 |
22/37 |
193/172 |
1/0 |
2/0 |
8.0/4.6 |
522/274 |
7.9/4.8 |
11/17/18 Massachusetts |
66-27 |
-41.0
L
|
42/19 |
385/117 |
9.2/6.2 |
1/0 |
14/24 |
17/32 |
229/155 |
0/1 |
1/3 |
12.7/4.4 |
614/272 |
10.2/5.0 |
11/24/18 Georgia Tech |
45-21 |
-16.5
W
|
41/43 |
295/142 |
7.2/3.3 |
1/0 |
14/5 |
19/14 |
207/45 |
0/0 |
0/3 |
10.9/2.6 |
502/187 |
8.4/3.1 |
12/01/18 Alabama |
28-35 |
+13.0
W
|
37/27 |
166/178 |
4.5/6.6 |
0/0 |
25/17 |
40/34 |
288/225 |
0/2 |
2/2 |
6.9/6.3 |
454/403 |
5.7/6.4 |
01/01/19 Texas |
21-28 |
-11.5
L
|
27/46 |
99/192 |
3.7/4.2 |
1/0 |
21/20 |
35/28 |
211/166 |
1/0 |
2/2 |
5.7/5.5 |
310/358 |
4.8/4.7 |
08/31/19 @ Vanderbilt |
30-6 |
-22.5
W
|
39/28 |
326/142 |
8.4/5.1 |
1/1 |
15/16 |
23/32 |
157/87 |
0/0 |
0/2 |
6.8/2.6 |
483/229 |
7.8/3.7 |
09/07/19 Murray State |
63-17 |
0.0
W
|
38/21 |
316/64 |
8.3/3.0 |
1/1 |
20/24 |
25/33 |
289/214 |
1/1 |
1/6 |
11.1/5.5 |
605/278 |
9.5/4.6 |
09/14/19 Arkansas St. |
55-0 |
-32.5
W
|
32/24 |
270/66 |
8.4/2.8 |
0/0 |
26/23 |
33/40 |
388/117 |
0/1 |
0/4 |
11.8/2.7 |
658/183 |
10.1/2.7 |
09/21/19 Notre Dame |
23-17 |
-14.0
L
|
31/14 |
154/46 |
5.0/3.3 |
1/0 |
20/29 |
26/47 |
187/275 |
0/2 |
0/0 |
7.2/5.9 |
341/321 |
6.0/5.3 |
10/05/19 @ Tennessee |
43-14 |
-24.5
W
|
39/25 |
241/99 |
6.2/4.0 |
0/1 |
24/15 |
29/33 |
288/247 |
0/1 |
0/4 |
9.9/6.7 |
529/346 |
7.8/5.6 |
10/12/19 South Carolina |
17-20 |
-21.5
L
|
40/36 |
184/142 |
4.6/3.9 |
1/0 |
28/21 |
51/32 |
284/155 |
3/0 |
3/0 |
5.3/4.8 |
468/297 |
5.0/4.4 |