Kent State @

Toledo

Tue, Nov 5
CBS Sports Network
4:00 PM Pacific
Rotation: 101
Odds: Toledo -7, Total: 62

Game Analysis

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TOLEDO (-7/-6.5)  36   Kent State  30

Toledo’s dual-threat quarterback Mitchell Guadagni will probably miss his third consecutive game (he was downgraded to doubtful), but backup Eli Peters played a lot when Guadagni was injured last season and he’s much better than Carter Bradley, who average a dreadful 3.6 yards on his 69 pass plays this season. Peters’ level of play (this season and last) is about the same as Toledo’s overall team level but the rushing numbers take a hit without Guadagni’s 396 yards on 52 runs this season. Kent State is a bad defensive team and Toledo is still projected to average 6.3 yard per rushing play and 7.6 yards per pass play with Peters at quarterback.

Kent State should move the ball well too, as the Golden Flashes have a pretty good rushing attack and Toledo is among the worst teams in the nation defending the run, allowing 6.1 yards per rushing play to a schedule of teams that would average just 4.7 yprp against an average defense.  Kent State is projected to run for 252 yards at 6.6 yprp and 187 yards at 5.7 yppp.

Toledo has the overall edge but there is isn’t much value in the side. However, the math does lean over the total.

  • Team Stats
  • Game Log
  • Kent State
  • Toledo
KNT
Offense
Defense

Rush

  • Run Plays 36.2 43.9
  • Run Yards 168.1 242.1
  • YPRP 5.1 5.8




Pass





  • Pass Comp 18.6 15.5
  • Pass Att 30.9 25.7
  • Comp % 60.1% 60.4%
  • Pass Yards 186.6 205.1
  • Sacks 3.2 1.9
  • Sack Yards 16.6 13.1
  • Sack % 9.5% 6.8%
  • Pass Plays 34.1 27.5
  • Net Pass Yards 170.0 192.1
  • YPPP 5.0 7.0

Total

  • Total Plays 70.3 71.4
  • Total Yards 354.8 447.2
  • YPPL 5.0 6.3

TO


  • Int 0.5 0.5
  • Int % 1.6% 1.9%
  • Fumbles 0.7 0.8
  • Turnovers 1.2 1.3
 
  • Points 23.9 30.9
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