Game Analysis
Lean – UL MONROE (+16) 16 James Madison 27
James Madison has scored 133 points the last two weeks but my model is calling for just 27 points for the Dukes this week against a vastly underrated UL Monroe defense that’s given up just 5.3 yppl in 4 games to teams that would combine to average 6.1 yppl against an average defense. That includes allowing just 6.1 yppl to an elite Texas offense that’s averaged 7.6 yppl against the other 4 teams they’ve faced.
ULM has a terrible and the better bet here might be James Madison Team Total Under 32 or 31.5 points.
Rush
-
Run Plays
34.3
28.8
-
Run Yards
223.5
137.5
-
YPRP
6.5
4.8
Pass
-
Pass Comp
16.8
22.5
-
Pass Att
25.8
40.3
-
Comp %
65.0%
55.9%
-
Pass Yards
256.0
251.3
-
Sacks
2.3
3.3
-
Sack Yards
14.3
18.8
-
Sack %
8.0%
7.5%
-
Pass Plays
28.0
43.5
-
Net Pass Yards
241.8
232.5
-
YPPP
8.6
5.3
Total
-
Total Plays
62.3
72.3
-
Total Yards
465.3
370.0
-
YPPL
7.5
5.1
TO
-
Int
0.3
2.3
-
Int %
1.0%
5.6%
-
Fumbles
0.5
1.0
-
Turnovers
0.8
3.3
Rush
-
Run Plays
36.5
36.8
-
Run Yards
155.3
176.5
-
YPRP
4.3
4.8
Pass
-
Pass Comp
9.3
16.8
-
Pass Att
16.8
25.3
-
Comp %
55.2%
66.3%
-
Pass Yards
102.0
181.0
-
Sacks
1.0
2.0
-
Sack Yards
7.3
15.8
-
Sack %
5.6%
7.3%
-
Pass Plays
17.8
27.3
-
Net Pass Yards
94.8
165.3
-
YPPP
5.3
6.1
Total
-
Total Plays
54.3
64.0
-
Total Yards
250.0
341.8
-
YPPL
4.6
5.3
TO
-
Int
0.8
1.0
-
Int %
4.5%
4.0%
-
Fumbles
0.0
0.5
-
Turnovers
0.8
1.5
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
2024 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
08/31/24 @ Charlotte |
30-7 |
-8.0
W
|
39/28 |
224/148 |
5.7/5.3 |
1/1 |
10/22 |
18/45 |
209/186 |
1/2 |
1/2 |
11.0/4.0 |
433/334 |
7.5/4.5 |
09/07/24 Gardner-Webb |
13-6 |
0.0
W
|
32/32 |
185/115 |
5.8/3.6 |
0/0 |
14/17 |
22/30 |
120/151 |
0/2 |
3/2 |
4.8/4.7 |
305/266 |
5.4/4.2 |
09/21/24 @ North Carolina |
70-50 |
+10.5
W
|
36/27 |
235/176 |
6.5/6.5 |
1/3 |
22/28 |
34/48 |
370/448 |
0/2 |
2/4 |
10.3/8.6 |
605/624 |
8.4/7.9 |
09/28/24 Ball St. |
63-7 |
-21.0
W
|
30/28 |
250/111 |
8.3/4.0 |
0/0 |
21/23 |
29/38 |
268/145 |
0/3 |
3/5 |
8.4/3.4 |
518/256 |
8.4/3.6 |
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
2024 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
08/29/24 Jackson State |
30-14 |
0.0
W
|
39/25 |
225/78 |
5.8/3.1 |
0/0 |
11/23 |
15/28 |
111/210 |
0/1 |
2/2 |
6.5/7.0 |
336/288 |
6.0/5.2 |
09/07/24 UAB |
32-6 |
+11.0
W
|
48/30 |
209/149 |
4.4/5.0 |
0/2 |
9/22 |
16/32 |
87/126 |
0/1 |
0/5 |
5.4/3.4 |
296/275 |
4.6/4.1 |
09/21/24 @ Texas |
3-51 |
+44.5
L
|
23/51 |
65/243 |
2.8/4.8 |
0/0 |
11/15 |
25/29 |
46/254 |
2/2 |
2/1 |
1.7/8.5 |
111/497 |
2.2/6.1 |
09/28/24 @ Troy |
13-9 |
+7.5
W
|
36/41 |
122/236 |
3.4/5.8 |
0/0 |
6/7 |
11/12 |
135/71 |
1/0 |
0/0 |
12.3/5.9 |
257/307 |
5.5/5.8 |