Indiana @

Western Kentucky

Sat, Sep 25
5:00 PM Pacific
Rotation: 351
Odds: Western Kentucky +9.5, Total: 63.5

Game Analysis

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Indiana (-9.5)  33   WESTERN KENTUCKY  29

Something is wrong with Indiana quarterback Michael Penix, as he clearly isn’t back to his pre-injury form. Penix actually wasn’t particularly accurate last season (56% completions) before getting injured and thus far he’s completed just 48% of his passes for only 4.6 yards per pass play (against teams that would allow 5.7 yppp to an average QB). I’ll assume that Penix is still better than average but Indiana’s rush attack is not and Western Kentucky has a decent pass defense.

The Hilltoppers also have a new offensive system and a new quarterback in Bailey Zappe that ran that system very well at Houston Baptist before transferring with his coach. Zappe has completed 75% of his passes for 10.8 yards per pass play, including averaging 9.8 yppp against a solid Army defense. If Penix is as bad as he’s been so far then Western Kentucky will probably win this game.

  • Team Stats
  • Game Log
  • Indiana
  • Western Kentucky
IND
Offense
Defense

Rush

  • Run Plays 37.7 28.7
  • Run Yards 156.3 136.0
  • YPRP 4.1 4.7




Pass





  • Pass Comp 15.0 19.3
  • Pass Att 31.0 34.3
  • Comp % 48.4% 56.3%
  • Pass Yards 161.0 190.0
  • Sacks 1.3 1.7
  • Sack Yards 9.3 13.0
  • Sack % 4.1% 4.6%
  • Pass Plays 32.3 36.0
  • Net Pass Yards 151.7 177.0
  • YPPP 4.7 4.9

Total

  • Total Plays 70.0 64.7
  • Total Yards 308.0 313.0
  • YPPL 4.4 4.8

TO


  • Int 2.0 0.3
  • Int % 6.5% 1.0%
  • Fumbles 0.3 1.3
  • Turnovers 2.3 1.7
 
  • Points 28.7 28.7
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