Illinois @

(23) Wisconsin

Sat, Oct 20
9:00 AM Pacific
Rotation: 345
Odds: Wisconsin -24.5, Total: 57

Game Analysis

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WISCONSIN (-24.5)  41   Illinois  19

Extreme winds are expected, which will affect the passing game, but Illinois runs the ball really well (252 rushing yards at 6.2 yards per rushing play) and Wisconsin has had trouble defending the run (5.6 yprp allowed to teams that would combine to average just 4.9 yprp against an average team). Wisconsin will also be able to run effectively against slightly below average run defense but the Badgers will be hurt more by the wind in the passing game because Illinois sucks throwing the ball anyway and throws mostly short passes. I’ll lean slightly with Illinois plus the points and I’ll still lean over despite the win (I’d project 65.7 points without a wind adjustment).

  • Team Stats
  • Game Log
  • Illinois
  • Wisconsin
ILL
Offense
Defense

Rush

  • Run Plays 40.7 36.5
  • Run Yards 232.8 200.0
  • YPRP 6.2 5.8




Pass





  • Pass Comp 15.0 24.2
  • Pass Att 25.7 37.7
  • Comp % 58.4% 64.2%
  • Pass Yards 159.7 297.5
  • Sacks 2.7 1.7
  • Sack Yards 19.2 10.5
  • Sack % 9.4% 4.2%
  • Pass Plays 28.3 39.3
  • Net Pass Yards 140.5 287.0
  • YPPP 5.0 7.3

Total

  • Total Plays 69.0 75.8
  • Total Yards 392.5 497.5
  • YPPL 5.7 6.6

TO


  • Int 0.5 1.8
  • Int % 1.9% 4.9%
  • Fumbles 0.3 0.3
  • Turnovers 0.8 2.2
 
  • Points 25.5 31.5
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