Game Analysis
WISCONSIN (-24.5) 41 Illinois 19
Extreme winds are expected, which will affect the passing game, but Illinois runs the ball really well (252 rushing yards at 6.2 yards per rushing play) and Wisconsin has had trouble defending the run (5.6 yprp allowed to teams that would combine to average just 4.9 yprp against an average team). Wisconsin will also be able to run effectively against slightly below average run defense but the Badgers will be hurt more by the wind in the passing game because Illinois sucks throwing the ball anyway and throws mostly short passes. I’ll lean slightly with Illinois plus the points and I’ll still lean over despite the win (I’d project 65.7 points without a wind adjustment).
Rush
-
Run Plays
40.7
36.5
-
Run Yards
232.8
200.0
-
YPRP
6.2
5.8
Pass
-
Pass Comp
15.0
24.2
-
Pass Att
25.7
37.7
-
Comp %
58.4%
64.2%
-
Pass Yards
159.7
297.5
-
Sacks
2.7
1.7
-
Sack Yards
19.2
10.5
-
Sack %
9.4%
4.2%
-
Pass Plays
28.3
39.3
-
Net Pass Yards
140.5
287.0
-
YPPP
5.0
7.3
Total
-
Total Plays
69.0
75.8
-
Total Yards
392.5
497.5
-
YPPL
5.7
6.6
TO
-
Int
0.5
1.8
-
Int %
1.9%
4.9%
-
Fumbles
0.3
0.3
-
Turnovers
0.8
2.2
Rush
-
Run Plays
42.0
30.3
-
Run Yards
270.0
162.8
-
YPRP
6.7
5.6
Pass
-
Pass Comp
13.5
16.3
-
Pass Att
22.5
27.5
-
Comp %
60.0%
59.4%
-
Pass Yards
177.7
199.5
-
Sacks
1.7
1.3
-
Sack Yards
11.2
7.3
-
Sack %
6.9%
4.6%
-
Pass Plays
24.2
28.8
-
Net Pass Yards
166.5
192.2
-
YPPP
6.9
6.7
Total
-
Total Plays
66.2
59.2
-
Total Yards
447.7
362.3
-
YPPL
6.8
6.1
TO
-
Int
0.7
0.7
-
Int %
3.0%
2.4%
-
Fumbles
0.5
0.8
-
Turnovers
1.2
1.5
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
2018 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
09/01/18 Kent State |
31-24 |
-16.5
L
|
44/40 |
299/191 |
6.8/4.8 |
1/0 |
13/28 |
23/41 |
172/263 |
0/2 |
3/2 |
6.6/6.1 |
471/454 |
6.7/5.5 |
09/08/18 Western Illinois |
34-14 |
0.0
W
|
46/18 |
246/83 |
5.3/4.6 |
0/1 |
14/26 |
23/42 |
130/277 |
0/2 |
1/3 |
5.4/6.2 |
376/360 |
5.4/5.7 |
09/15/18 South Florida |
19-25 |
+14.0
W
|
42/43 |
262/222 |
6.2/5.2 |
1/0 |
20/23 |
29/40 |
134/404 |
0/2 |
5/1 |
3.9/9.9 |
396/626 |
5.2/7.5 |
09/21/18 Penn St. |
24-63 |
+27.5
L
|
44/50 |
264/400 |
6.0/8.0 |
0/1 |
18/13 |
31/20 |
166/167 |
2/1 |
1/1 |
5.2/8.0 |
430/567 |
5.7/8.0 |
10/06/18 @ Rutgers |
38-17 |
-3.0
W
|
41/29 |
342/124 |
8.3/4.3 |
0/0 |
10/29 |
19/46 |
77/243 |
0/3 |
2/1 |
3.7/5.2 |
419/367 |
6.8/4.8 |
10/13/18 Purdue |
7-46 |
+10.5
L
|
27/39 |
99/243 |
3.7/6.2 |
0/0 |
15/26 |
29/37 |
164/368 |
1/1 |
4/2 |
5.0/9.4 |
263/611 |
4.4/7.8 |
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
2018 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
08/31/18 Western Kentucky |
34-3 |
-35.5
L
|
36/32 |
252/113 |
7.0/3.5 |
1/1 |
17/17 |
29/30 |
239/176 |
0/1 |
3/1 |
7.5/5.7 |
491/289 |
7.2/4.6 |
09/08/18 New Mexico |
45-14 |
-34.5
L
|
58/28 |
424/88 |
7.3/3.1 |
1/1 |
9/14 |
12/24 |
144/131 |
1/2 |
1/1 |
11.1/5.2 |
568/219 |
8.0/4.1 |
09/15/18 BYU |
21-24 |
-22.5
L
|
41/25 |
216/199 |
5.3/8.0 |
0/0 |
18/13 |
28/23 |
178/115 |
1/0 |
2/1 |
5.9/4.8 |
394/314 |
5.5/6.4 |
09/22/18 @ Iowa |
28-17 |
-3.0
W
|
43/31 |
223/148 |
5.2/4.8 |
0/2 |
17/14 |
22/23 |
192/239 |
0/1 |
1/0 |
8.3/10.4 |
415/387 |
6.3/7.2 |
10/06/18 Nebraska |
41-24 |
-17.5
L
|
47/22 |
376/129 |
8.0/5.9 |
1/1 |
13/26 |
24/44 |
157/387 |
0/0 |
1/2 |
6.3/8.4 |
533/516 |
7.4/7.6 |
10/13/18 @ Michigan |
13-38 |
+8.0
L
|
27/44 |
196/344 |
7.3/7.8 |
0/0 |
7/14 |
20/21 |
89/105 |
2/0 |
2/3 |
4.0/4.4 |
285/449 |
5.8/6.6 |