Georgia Tech @

UCF

Sat, Sep 24
ESPNU
1:00 PM Pacific
Rotation: 333
Odds: UCF -20.5, Total: 57

Game Analysis

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Lean – Under (57) – UCF (-20.5)  36   Georgia Tech  12

Georgia Tech has scored just 10 total points in two games against FCS teams (Clemson and Ole’ Miss) and were 1.6 yards per play worse than average in those games (3.4 yppl against defenses that would allow 5.0 yppl to an average team). The Yellow Jackets were also 1.6 yppl worse than average when they gained 6.7 yppl against FCS team Western Carolina (they’d allow 8.3 yppl on the road to an average FBS team). Basically. Georgia Tech’s offense has been abysmal and UCF has yielded an average of just 17 points and 5.5 yards per play to FCS teams Louisville and Florida Atlantic, who would average 6.0 yppl against an average defensive team.

Georgia Tech isn’t likely to score more than 14 points and UCF’s mediocre offense (6.1 yppl against FBS teams that would allow 6.1 yppl) is not going to score too easily against what has been a solid Yellow Jackets defense so far. Georgia Tech has given up 5.8 yppl to teams that would combine to average 5.8 yppl against an average defensive team and only a very strong Mississippi offense has gained more than 5.6 yppl against them (they held Clemson to 4.9 yppl). I’ll lean Under 55 points or more.

  • Team Stats
  • Game Log
  • Georgia Tech
  • UCF
GT
Offense
Defense

Rush

  • Run Plays 29.7 44.3
  • Run Yards 142.3 214.7
  • YPRP 4.8 4.8




Pass





  • Pass Comp 16.3 19.7
  • Pass Att 28.3 30.7
  • Comp % 57.6% 64.1%
  • Pass Yards 141.7 253.7
  • Sacks 3.0 2.7
  • Sack Yards 19.3 19.0
  • Sack % 9.6% 8.0%
  • Pass Plays 31.3 33.3
  • Net Pass Yards 122.3 234.7
  • YPPP 3.9 7.0

Total

  • Total Plays 61.0 77.7
  • Total Yards 264.7 449.3
  • YPPL 4.3 5.8

TO


  • Int 0.7 1.3
  • Int % 2.4% 4.3%
  • Fumbles 0.0 0.7
  • Turnovers 0.7 2.0
 
  • Points 15.0 33.3
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