Game Analysis
Create an account to get analysis and updates sent to your inbox.
BOISE STATE (pick) 27 Fresno State 25
Boise State is tough to beat at home and the Broncos have traditionally played their best here against other good teams. With this season’s home victories over Fresno State (24-17 as a 2.5-point dog) and Utah State last week (33-24 as a 2.5-point favorite) the Broncos are now 24-5 ATS all-time in home games when not favored by 11 points or more. My math model favors Boise by 1 point but I’ll add a point for the extra home field advantage.
- Team Stats
- Game Log
- Fresno St.
- Boise St.
FRES
Offense
Defense
Rush
- Run Plays 33.9 32.3
- Run Yards 150.1 116.2
- YPRP 4.6 3.9
Pass
- Pass Comp 22.2 16.3
- Pass Att 31.6 32.0
- Comp % 70.2% 51.0%
- Pass Yards 282.5 197.3
- Sacks 0.9 1.9
- Sack Yards 5.3 9.3
- Sack % 2.8% 5.7%
- Pass Plays 32.5 33.9
- Net Pass Yards 277.3 188.1
- YPPP 8.5 5.5
Total
- Total Plays 66.4 66.2
- Total Yards 432.6 313.5
- YPPL 6.5 4.7
TO
- Int 0.3 1.4
- Int % 1.0% 4.4%
- Fumbles 0.4 0.5
- Turnovers 0.8 1.9
- Points 36.3 13.5
BOIS
Offense
Defense
Rush
- Run Plays 35.0 29.8
- Run Yards 158.2 127.0
- YPRP 4.9 5.1
Pass
- Pass Comp 24.6 18.0
- Pass Att 35.8 28.9
- Comp % 68.8% 62.2%
- Pass Yards 305.5 226.9
- Sacks 2.6 3.2
- Sack Yards 14.4 23.8
- Sack % 6.7% 9.9%
- Pass Plays 38.3 32.1
- Net Pass Yards 291.1 203.1
- YPPP 7.6 6.3
Total
- Total Plays 73.3 61.9
- Total Yards 463.7 353.9
- YPPL 6.3 5.7
TO
- Int 0.7 0.6
- Int % 1.9% 2.0%
- Fumbles 0.3 1.2
- Turnovers 1.0 1.8
- Points 37.0 22.3
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
| 2018 Game Log | RUSHING PLAYS | PASSING PLAYS | TOTAL | |||||||||||
| Opponent | Score | Spread | Atts | Yds | Yprp | Fum | Comp | Att | Yds | Int | Sack | Yppp | Yds | Yppl |
| 09/01/18 Idaho | 79-13 | -23.0 W | 41/30 | 247/114 | 6.0/3.8 | 0/2 | 21/14 | 29/33 | 241/192 | 0/5 | 1/2 | 8.0/5.5 | 488/306 | 6.9/4.7 |
| 09/08/18 @ Minnesota | 14-21 | 0.0 L | 24/42 | 87/142 | 3.6/3.4 | 0/1 | 24/16 | 34/26 | 212/169 | 2/0 | 0/1 | 6.2/6.3 | 299/311 | 5.2/4.5 |
| 09/15/18 @ UCLA | 38-14 | -3.0 W | 48/30 | 165/120 | 3.4/4.0 | 2/2 | 22/10 | 33/24 | 261/150 | 0/2 | 1/1 | 7.7/6.0 | 426/270 | 5.2/4.9 |
| 09/29/18 Toledo | 49-27 | -9.5 W | 36/35 | 193/166 | 5.4/4.7 | 0/0 | 24/15 | 32/31 | 363/175 | 1/1 | 1/5 | 11.0/4.9 | 556/341 | 8.1/4.8 |
| 10/06/18 @ Nevada | 21-3 | -14.5 W | 22/39 | 39/160 | 1.8/4.1 | 1/0 | 20/22 | 28/43 | 229/167 | 0/3 | 1/4 | 7.9/3.6 | 268/327 | 5.3/3.8 |
| 10/13/18 Wyoming | 27-3 | -18.0 W | 31/29 | 110/105 | 3.5/3.6 | 0/0 | 22/12 | 32/32 | 287/116 | 0/1 | 0/1 | 9.0/3.5 | 397/221 | 6.3/3.6 |
| 10/20/18 @ New Mexico | 38-7 | -13.5 W | 42/33 | 157/119 | 3.7/3.6 | 0/0 | 20/15 | 30/32 | 276/132 | 0/1 | 1/0 | 8.9/4.1 | 433/251 | 5.9/3.9 |
| 10/27/18 Hawaii | 50-20 | -25.5 W | 30/24 | 213/88 | 7.1/3.7 | 0/1 | 26/20 | 38/34 | 348/265 | 0/1 | 0/2 | 9.2/7.4 | 561/353 | 8.3/5.9 |
| 11/03/18 @ UNLV | 48-3 | -26.0 W | 34/39 | 192/173 | 5.6/4.4 | 0/0 | 26/15 | 35/35 | 274/110 | 1/1 | 0/2 | 7.8/3.0 | 466/283 | 6.8/3.7 |
| 11/09/18 @ Boise St. | 17-24 | -2.5 L | 25/41 | 129/184 | 5.2/4.5 | 0/0 | 24/24 | 35/30 | 259/266 | 0/1 | 3/1 | 6.8/8.6 | 388/450 | 6.2/6.3 |
| 11/17/18 San Diego St. | 23-14 | -13.0 L | 38/26 | 134/70 | 3.5/2.7 | 0/0 | 17/8 | 24/21 | 260/212 | 0/0 | 3/1 | 9.6/9.6 | 394/282 | 6.1/5.9 |
| 11/24/18 San Jose St. | 31-13 | -32.0 L | 36/19 | 198/64 | 5.5/3.4 | 2/0 | 20/25 | 29/43 | 317/303 | 0/1 | 0/3 | 10.9/6.6 | 515/367 | 7.9/5.6 |
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
| 2018 Game Log | RUSHING PLAYS | PASSING PLAYS | TOTAL | |||||||||||
| Opponent | Score | Spread | Atts | Yds | Yprp | Fum | Comp | Att | Yds | Int | Sack | Yppp | Yds | Yppl |
| 09/01/18 @ Troy | 56-20 | -10.0 W | 24/38 | 125/173 | 5.2/4.6 | 1/3 | 20/24 | 28/34 | 298/216 | 0/1 | 1/5 | 10.3/5.5 | 423/389 | 8.0/5.1 |
| 09/08/18 Connecticut | 62-7 | -31.5 W | 43/24 | 380/125 | 8.8/5.2 | 0/0 | 25/11 | 33/21 | 418/68 | 0/1 | 0/1 | 12.7/3.1 | 798/193 | 10.5/4.2 |
| 09/15/18 @ Oklahoma St. | 21-44 | +2.0 L | 24/34 | 83/197 | 3.5/5.8 | 1/0 | 39/16 | 56/27 | 331/227 | 0/0 | 7/3 | 5.3/7.6 | 414/424 | 4.8/6.6 |
| 09/29/18 @ Wyoming | 34-14 | -17.0 W | 43/18 | 165/145 | 3.8/8.1 | 0/0 | 29/15 | 43/25 | 342/99 | 0/0 | 2/5 | 7.6/3.3 | 507/244 | 5.8/5.1 |
| 10/06/18 San Diego St. | 13-19 | -14.0 L | 31/36 | 91/180 | 2.9/5.0 | 0/2 | 22/8 | 44/15 | 148/85 | 3/0 | 4/4 | 3.1/4.5 | 239/265 | 3.0/4.8 |
| 10/13/18 @ Nevada | 31-27 | -14.5 L | 38/23 | 148/91 | 3.9/4.0 | 1/2 | 28/23 | 38/41 | 293/273 | 3/1 | 2/1 | 7.3/6.5 | 441/364 | 5.7/5.6 |
| 10/19/18 Colorado St. | 56-28 | -24.0 W | 33/22 | 172/143 | 5.2/6.5 | 0/1 | 23/28 | 27/44 | 295/306 | 0/2 | 4/3 | 9.5/6.5 | 467/449 | 7.3/6.5 |
| 10/27/18 @ Air Force | 48-38 | -9.5 W | 28/47 | 149/226 | 5.3/4.8 | 0/0 | 22/11 | 36/16 | 391/219 | 0/0 | 2/3 | 10.3/11.5 | 540/445 | 8.2/6.7 |
| 11/03/18 BYU | 21-16 | -13.5 L | 35/30 | 118/167 | 3.4/5.6 | 1/3 | 23/19 | 35/28 | 209/236 | 1/0 | 2/7 | 5.6/6.7 | 327/403 | 4.5/6.2 |
| 11/09/18 Fresno St. | 24-17 | +2.5 W | 41/25 | 184/129 | 4.5/5.2 | 0/0 | 24/24 | 30/35 | 266/259 | 1/0 | 1/3 | 8.6/6.8 | 450/388 | 6.3/6.2 |
| 11/16/18 @ New Mexico | 45-14 | -21.5 W | 38/43 | 240/165 | 6.3/3.8 | 0/2 | 17/8 | 27/14 | 209/95 | 0/1 | 3/2 | 7.0/5.9 | 449/260 | 6.6/4.4 |
| 11/24/18 Utah St. | 33-24 | -2.5 W | 42/18 | 216/69 | 5.1/3.8 | 0/1 | 23/29 | 32/47 | 293/354 | 0/1 | 3/1 | 8.4/7.4 | 509/423 | 6.6/6.4 |