Fresno St. @ Boise St. Matchup Analysis

Game Analysis

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BOISE STATE (-9) 28 Fresno State 19

Fresno beat Boise last week in the California valley but the Broncos should get their revenge on the blue turf in Idaho. However, while my math model liked Fresno as a home dog last week it shows no value on either side in the rematch.

Team Stats
Game Log

Fresno St.
Boise St.

FRES

Offense

Defense

Rush

Run Plays 34.9 30.7
Run Yards 154.0 129.5
YPRP 4.5 4.7

Pass

Pass Comp 17.8 20.0
Pass Att 28.8 32.2
Comp % 61.8% 62.2%
Pass Yards 217.7 201.6
Sacks 0.6 2.4
Sack Yards 4.5 15.2
Sack % 1.9% 6.8%
Pass Plays 29.4 34.5
Net Pass Yards 213.3 186.5
YPPP 7.3 5.4

Total

Total Plays 64.3 65.3
Total Yards 371.7 331.1
YPPL 5.8 5.1

Int 0.5 0.6
Int % 1.6% 2.0%
Fumbles 0.5 0.9
Turnovers 0.9 1.6

Points 27.8 17.3

BOIS

Offense

Defense

Rush

Run Plays 34.2 33.3
Run Yards 152.4 129.2
YPRP 4.8 4.3

Pass

Pass Comp 20.1 20.0
Pass Att 31.2 33.3
Comp % 64.4% 60.0%
Pass Yards 254.4 215.5
Sacks 1.9 2.2
Sack Yards 11.6 12.5
Sack % 5.8% 6.1%
Pass Plays 33.1 35.5
Net Pass Yards 242.8 203.0
YPPP 7.3 5.7

Total

Total Plays 67.3 68.8
Total Yards 406.8 344.7
YPPL 6.0 5.0

Int 0.4 1.0
Int % 1.3% 3.0%
Fumbles 0.4 0.8
Turnovers 0.8 1.8

Points 33.3 23.2

Straight Up: , Against the Spread:

* game log stats denoted as Off/Def

2017 Game Log			RUSHING PLAYS				PASSING PLAYS						TOTAL
Opponent	Score	Spread	Atts	Yds	Yprp	Fum	Comp	Att	Yds	Int	Sack	Yppp	Yds	Yppl
09/02/17 Incarnate Word	66-0	0.0 W	40/23	199/15	5.0/0.7	0/1	22/15	36/31	349/135	0/1	0/2	9.7/4.1	548/150	7.2/2.7
09/09/17 @ Alabama	10-41	+44.0 W	20/38	55/313	2.8/8.2	0/0	26/20	41/27	208/184	1/0	1/1	5.0/6.6	263/497	4.2/7.5
09/16/17 @ Washington	16-48	+33.0 W	29/28	72/104	2.5/3.7	0/2	21/25	36/28	181/318	1/0	1/2	4.9/10.6	253/422	3.8/7.3
09/30/17 Nevada	41-21	-9.5 W	35/20	205/84	5.9/4.2	2/0	25/31	33/49	302/230	1/3	1/3	8.9/4.4	507/314	7.3/4.4
10/07/17 @ San Jose St.	27-10	-17.0 T	50/29	214/132	4.3/4.6	0/2	15/15	26/26	136/73	0/2	0/4	5.2/2.4	350/205	4.6/3.5
10/14/17 New Mexico	38-0	-1.5 W	34/35	242/113	7.1/3.2	1/1	13/15	23/30	286/202	0/1	1/2	11.9/6.3	528/315	9.1/4.7
10/21/17 @ San Diego St.	27-3	+7.5 W	37/35	200/174	5.4/5.0	0/1	10/11	16/23	176/63	0/0	0/4	11.0/2.3	376/237	7.1/3.8
10/28/17 UNLV	16-26	-20.5 L	32/41	184/178	5.8/4.3	1/0	16/17	27/29	144/155	0/0	1/0	5.1/5.3	328/333	5.5/4.8
11/04/17 BYU	20-13	-11.5 L	40/25	136/134	3.4/5.4	0/1	14/23	20/43	174/202	0/0	0/2	8.7/4.5	310/336	5.2/4.8
11/11/17 @ Hawaii	31-21	-10.0 T	35/31	177/149	5.1/4.8	0/1	19/18	36/31	226/125	2/1	0/5	6.3/3.5	403/274	5.7/4.1
11/18/17 @ Wyoming	13-7	-2.5 W	44/27	153/83	3.5/3.1	1/2	14/20	23/32	181/225	0/0	1/1	7.5/6.8	334/308	4.9/5.1
11/25/17 Boise St.	28-17	+7.0 W	28/29	105/127	3.8/4.4	0/0	23/25	36/36	332/274	0/0	0/2	9.2/7.2	437/401	6.8/6.0

Straight Up: , Against the Spread:

* game log stats denoted as Off/Def

2017 Game Log			RUSHING PLAYS				PASSING PLAYS						TOTAL
Opponent	Score	Spread	Atts	Yds	Yprp	Fum	Comp	Att	Yds	Int	Sack	Yppp	Yds	Yppl
09/02/17 Troy	24-13	-10.0 W	40/25	172/93	4.3/3.7	1/2	19/17	32/34	185/122	1/1	4/4	5.1/3.2	357/215	4.7/3.4
09/09/17 @ Washington St.	44-47	+10.0 W	38/22	194/71	5.1/3.2	3/1	19/49	28/67	214/384	1/2	4/5	6.7/5.3	408/455	5.8/4.8
09/14/17 New Mexico	28-14	-14.5 L	28/50	134/214	4.8/4.3	0/1	15/8	19/15	136/63	0/1	1/1	6.8/3.9	270/277	5.6/4.2
09/22/17 Virginia	23-42	-12.5 L	19/35	63/195	3.3/5.6	0/0	28/19	53/29	327/271	1/0	4/1	5.7/9.0	390/466	5.1/7.2
10/06/17 @ BYU	24-7	-7.0 W	44/22	170/67	3.9/3.0	0/0	13/20	20/37	142/171	1/2	0/1	7.1/4.5	312/238	4.9/4.0
10/14/17 @ San Diego St.	31-14	+6.5 W	33/35	187/105	5.7/3.0	0/1	14/12	23/27	125/218	0/0	0/4	5.4/7.0	312/323	5.6/4.9
10/21/17 Wyoming	24-14	-14.0 L	39/30	179/134	4.6/4.5	0/0	18/12	24/27	164/108	0/2	3/4	6.1/3.5	343/242	5.2/4.0
10/28/17 @ Utah St.	41-14	-9.5 W	39/27	189/93	4.8/3.4	0/0	24/18	34/34	347/186	0/0	3/0	9.4/5.5	536/279	7.1/4.6
11/04/17 Nevada	41-14	-20.5 W	35/28	145/145	4.1/5.2	0/0	25/24	34/37	339/157	0/3	0/1	10.0/4.1	484/302	7.0/4.6
11/11/17 @ Colorado St.	59-52	-6.5 W	37/50	318/263	8.6/5.3	1/1	23/29	45/43	323/305	1/1	2/2	6.9/6.8	641/568	7.6/6.0
11/18/17 Air Force	44-19	-17.5 W	29/47	90/215	3.1/4.6	0/3	18/9	26/14	338/119	0/0	0/3	13.0/7.0	428/334	7.8/5.2
11/25/17 @ Fresno St.	17-28	-7.0 L	29/28	127/105	4.4/3.8	0/0	25/23	36/36	274/332	0/0	2/0	7.2/9.2	401/437	6.0/6.8

(25) Fresno St. @

Boise St.

Sat, Dec 2

4:45 PM Pacific

Game Analysis