Game Analysis
Florida State (-2) 26 CLEMSON 26
I had Florida State rated 4.3 points better than Clemson heading into the season and the season-to-date numbers rate the Seminoles as 3.2 points better than the Tigers. Clemson’s offense is still not much better than an average FBS team, but their defense is still among the best in the nation. Giving up 28 points and 6.4 yards per play to Duke in the opener doesn’t look so bad given how good Duke’s offense has been in every game and they were putting the clamps on FAU’s offense even before Owls’ QB Casey Thompson got injured. Florida State is a great offensive team, but the Noles’ defense allowed 460 yards at 7.2 yppl to LSU and gave up 457 yards at 6.1 yppl in a narrow win at Boston College last week. I expect that unit to get better but the numbers suggest that FSU by 1 is a fair line and Clemson applies to a decent 87-42-1 ATS situation.
Rush
-
Run Plays
32.7
29.3
-
Run Yards
198.7
133.0
-
YPRP
6.1
4.5
Pass
-
Pass Comp
19.3
17.7
-
Pass Att
29.3
35.0
-
Comp %
65.9%
50.5%
-
Pass Yards
266.0
268.7
-
Sacks
0.7
2.7
-
Sack Yards
2.0
20.7
-
Sack %
2.2%
7.1%
-
Pass Plays
30.0
37.7
-
Net Pass Yards
264.0
248.0
-
YPPP
8.8
6.6
Total
-
Total Plays
62.7
67.0
-
Total Yards
462.7
381.0
-
YPPL
7.4
5.7
TO
-
Int
0.3
1.0
-
Int %
1.1%
2.9%
-
Fumbles
0.7
0.3
-
Turnovers
1.0
1.3
Rush
-
Run Plays
37.3
29.3
-
Run Yards
236.0
114.7
-
YPRP
6.3
3.9
Pass
-
Pass Comp
27.0
16.0
-
Pass Att
40.3
31.3
-
Comp %
66.9%
51.1%
-
Pass Yards
266.7
135.0
-
Sacks
1.0
1.3
-
Sack Yards
9.7
11.0
-
Sack %
2.4%
4.1%
-
Pass Plays
41.3
32.7
-
Net Pass Yards
257.0
124.0
-
YPPP
6.2
3.8
Total
-
Total Plays
78.7
62.0
-
Total Yards
493.0
238.7
-
YPPL
6.3
3.8
TO
-
Int
0.7
1.3
-
Int %
1.7%
4.2%
-
Fumbles
1.3
1.0
-
Turnovers
2.0
2.3
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
2023 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
09/03/23 LSU |
45-24 |
+2.5
W
|
33/23 |
139/139 |
4.2/6.0 |
0/1 |
24/22 |
32/37 |
359/321 |
1/1 |
0/4 |
11.2/7.8 |
498/460 |
7.7/7.2 |
09/09/23 Southern Miss |
66-13 |
-31.0
W
|
35/26 |
312/85 |
8.9/3.3 |
0/0 |
18/11 |
32/34 |
211/141 |
0/1 |
2/2 |
6.2/3.9 |
523/226 |
7.6/3.6 |
09/16/23 @ Boston College |
31-29 |
-26.0
L
|
30/39 |
145/175 |
4.8/4.5 |
2/0 |
16/20 |
24/34 |
222/282 |
0/1 |
0/2 |
9.3/7.8 |
367/457 |
6.8/6.1 |
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
2023 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
09/04/23 @ Duke |
7-28 |
-13.0
L
|
38/27 |
236/210 |
6.2/7.8 |
2/2 |
27/17 |
43/33 |
195/175 |
1/0 |
2/0 |
4.3/5.3 |
431/385 |
5.2/6.4 |
09/09/23 Charleston Southern |
66-17 |
0.0
W
|
41/27 |
292/28 |
7.1/1.0 |
1/0 |
34/6 |
45/16 |
368/46 |
1/1 |
1/2 |
8.0/2.6 |
660/74 |
7.6/1.6 |
09/16/23 Florida Atl. |
48-14 |
-24.5
W
|
33/34 |
180/106 |
5.5/3.1 |
1/1 |
20/25 |
33/45 |
208/151 |
0/3 |
0/2 |
6.3/3.2 |
388/257 |
5.9/3.2 |