Eastern Mich @ Akron Matchup Analysis

Game Analysis

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Eastern Michigan (-17) 34 AKRON 14

Akron is 0-9 ATS while losing 7 of their 9 games by 21 points or more (the exceptions being UAB and an equally bad UMass team). The oddsmakers can’t seem to make the line big enough and my math favors Eastern Michigan by 20 points in this game.

Team Stats
Game Log

Eastern Mich
Akron

EMIC

Offense

Defense

Rush

Run Plays 32.2 42.4
Run Yards 146.3 195.8
YPRP 4.9 4.9

Pass

Pass Comp 20.0 14.2
Pass Att 30.6 25.6
Comp % 65.3% 55.6%
Pass Yards 222.4 165.0
Sacks 2.1 1.8
Sack Yards 11.2 11.1
Sack % 6.5% 6.7%
Pass Plays 32.7 27.4
Net Pass Yards 211.2 153.9
YPPP 6.5 5.6

Total

Total Plays 64.9 69.8
Total Yards 368.6 360.8
YPPL 5.7 5.2

Int 0.5 1.0
Int % 1.7% 3.9%
Fumbles 0.6 0.8
Turnovers 1.2 1.8

Points 26.2 33.2

AKR

Offense

Defense

Rush

Run Plays 26.3 44.4
Run Yards 82.8 227.0
YPRP 4.0 5.4

Pass

Pass Comp 16.6 16.6
Pass Att 32.9 27.1
Comp % 50.5% 61.4%
Pass Yards 197.2 178.9
Sacks 3.7 1.6
Sack Yards 22.1 11.4
Sack % 10.1% 5.5%
Pass Plays 36.6 28.7
Net Pass Yards 175.1 167.5
YPPP 4.8 5.8

Total

Total Plays 62.9 73.1
Total Yards 280.0 405.9
YPPL 4.5 5.6

Int 1.2 0.6
Int % 3.7% 2.1%
Fumbles 1.2 0.7
Turnovers 2.4 1.2

Points 10.2 35.7

Straight Up: , Against the Spread:

* game log stats denoted as Off/Def

2019 Game Log			RUSHING PLAYS				PASSING PLAYS						TOTAL
Opponent	Score	Spread	Atts	Yds	Yprp	Fum	Comp	Att	Yds	Int	Sack	Yppp	Yds	Yppl
10/06/18 @ Western Mich	24-27	+4.0 W	44/40	195/149	4.4/3.7	1/1	18/16	31/27	190/235	0/1	3/0	5.6/8.7	385/384	4.9/5.7
10/13/18 Toledo	28-26	+3.0 W	35/47	246/256	7.0/5.4	0/0	17/12	23/27	168/120	0/1	2/5	6.7/3.8	414/376	6.9/4.8
10/20/18 @ Ball St.	42-20	-3.0 W	43/32	174/150	4.0/4.7	0/1	22/21	28/39	251/157	0/1	2/0	8.4/4.0	425/307	5.8/4.3
10/27/18 Army	22-37	-1.0 L	10/72	40/291	4.0/4.0	1/0	19/7	29/8	195/126	0/0	1/0	6.5/15.8	235/417	5.9/5.2
11/03/18 Central Mich	17-7	-13.5 L	33/28	171/110	5.2/3.9	2/2	20/12	32/32	191/26	1/2	5/4	5.2/0.7	362/136	5.2/2.1
11/10/18 Akron	27-7	-12.0 W	49/28	264/86	5.4/3.1	1/1	16/4	24/15	129/15	0/3	1/2	5.2/0.9	393/101	5.3/2.2
11/23/18 @ Kent State	28-20	-13.5 L	39/41	257/200	6.6/4.9	1/2	13/19	26/35	125/192	1/1	2/4	4.5/4.9	382/392	5.7/4.9
12/15/18 Georgia Southern	21-23	+3.0 W	23/56	98/348	4.3/6.2	0/0	17/4	26/7	203/31	0/0	1/1	7.5/3.9	301/379	6.0/5.9
08/31/19 @ Coastal Carolina	30-23	-6.0 W	32/29	131/77	4.1/2.7	1/0	20/29	22/43	186/301	0/4	1/1	8.1/6.8	317/378	5.8/5.2
09/07/19 @ Kentucky	17-38	+15.5 L	20/37	67/240	3.4/6.5	0/1	34/20	53/36	302/220	2/0	2/2	5.5/5.8	369/460	4.9/6.1
09/14/19 @ Illinois	34-31	+7.0 W	38/33	172/235	4.5/7.1	1/1	23/22	36/37	308/246	0/1	1/6	8.3/5.7	480/481	6.4/6.3
09/21/19 Central Connecticut State	34-29	0.0 W	29/33	93/130	3.2/3.9	0/1	26/17	39/22	279/215	2/0	0/2	7.2/9.0	372/345	5.5/6.1
10/05/19 @ Central Mich	16-42	-6.0 L	23/44	118/307	5.1/7.0	0/1	22/15	38/24	197/284	1/1	4/0	4.7/11.8	315/591	4.8/8.7
10/12/19 Ball St.	23-29	-1.5 L	30/44	91/209	3.0/4.8	1/1	20/23	35/32	268/248	3/0	3/2	7.1/7.3	359/457	5.3/5.9
10/19/19 Western Mich	34-27	+9.0 W	34/36	166/167	4.9/4.6	0/0	35/15	41/24	381/192	0/1	4/0	8.5/8.0	547/359	6.9/6.0
10/26/19 @ Toledo	34-37	+2.5 L	35/57	168/363	4.8/6.4	1/2	21/9	37/18	282/138	0/0	0/0	7.6/7.7	450/501	6.3/6.7
11/02/19 Buffalo	14-43	+1.0 L	13/58	40/264	3.1/4.6	0/0	14/15	25/23	173/200	1/0	4/1	6.0/8.3	213/464	5.1/5.7

Straight Up: , Against the Spread:

* game log stats denoted as Off/Def

2019 Game Log			RUSHING PLAYS				PASSING PLAYS						TOTAL
Opponent	Score	Spread	Atts	Yds	Yprp	Fum	Comp	Att	Yds	Int	Sack	Yppp	Yds	Yppl
10/06/18 Miami Ohio	17-41	-5.0 L	25/38	78/208	3.1/5.5	2/1	19/24	35/33	183/214	3/1	3/0	4.8/6.5	261/422	4.1/5.9
10/13/18 @ Buffalo	6-24	+12.0 L	29/45	137/225	4.7/5.0	0/0	12/16	29/30	101/212	1/1	3/0	3.2/7.1	238/437	3.9/5.8
10/20/18 @ Kent State	24-23	-5.0 L	36/42	170/175	4.7/4.2	0/0	19/16	35/30	192/187	1/0	3/1	5.1/6.0	362/362	4.9/5.0
10/27/18 Central Mich	17-10	-5.0 W	35/42	214/191	6.1/4.5	4/1	10/19	27/39	129/123	0/0	2/6	4.4/2.7	343/314	5.4/3.6
11/01/18 Northern Ill	26-36	+6.0 L	22/55	62/342	2.8/6.2	0/1	21/21	38/28	299/154	2/0	6/4	6.8/4.8	361/496	5.5/5.7
11/10/18 @ Eastern Mich	7-27	+12.0 L	28/49	86/264	3.1/5.4	1/1	4/16	15/24	15/129	3/0	2/1	0.9/5.2	101/393	2.2/5.3
11/17/18 Bowling Green	6-21	-6.0 L	24/39	109/239	4.5/6.1	0/1	12/19	28/27	122/160	0/1	4/2	3.8/5.5	231/399	4.1/5.9
11/23/18 @ Ohio	28-49	+24.0 W	19/49	46/394	2.4/8.0	0/0	24/5	41/14	342/74	1/1	2/2	8.0/4.6	388/468	6.3/7.2
12/01/18 @ South Carolina	3-28	+29.5 W	34/36	134/204	3.9/5.7	3/2	19/14	39/27	155/177	0/2	5/2	3.5/6.1	289/381	3.7/5.9
08/31/19 @ Illinois	3-42	+18.0 L	32/44	102/268	3.2/6.1	1/0	12/15	28/25	108/183	1/0	6/2	3.2/6.8	210/451	3.2/6.4
09/07/19 UAB	20-31	+8.5 L	24/33	54/83	2.3/2.5	2/0	25/15	44/24	339/319	0/1	5/0	6.9/13.3	393/402	5.4/7.1
09/14/19 @ Central Mich	24-45	+1.5 L	22/34	76/189	3.5/5.6	1/1	29/21	47/32	253/344	1/0	7/0	4.7/10.8	329/533	4.3/8.1
09/21/19 Troy	7-35	+17.5 L	16/56	75/280	4.7/5.0	1/0	18/29	32/39	215/225	1/1	2/0	6.3/5.8	290/505	5.8/5.3
09/28/19 @ Massachusetts	29-37	-7.5 L	25/41	80/222	3.2/5.4	1/0	28/19	42/33	325/213	2/1	2/0	7.4/6.5	405/435	5.9/5.9
10/12/19 Kent State	3-26	+14.5 L	27/44	123/252	4.6/5.7	1/0	17/16	29/21	177/138	0/0	5/3	5.2/5.8	300/390	4.9/5.7
10/19/19 Buffalo	0-21	+17.5 L	16/40	40/192	2.5/4.8	3/1	22/14	39/23	157/65	1/0	5/0	3.6/2.8	197/257	3.3/4.1
10/26/19 @ Northern Ill	0-49	+22.5 L	21/58	133/296	6.3/5.1	1/1	7/7	26/9	37/64	2/0	2/1	1.3/6.4	170/360	3.5/5.3
11/02/19 @ Bowling Green	6-35	+4.0 L	24/59	78/172	3.3/2.9	1/1	10/13	26/21	40/111	3/0	6/1	1.3/5.0	118/283	2.1/3.5

Eastern Mich @

Akron

Tue, Nov 12

ESPNews

3:00 PM Pacific

Game Analysis