Coastal Carolina @

Georgia St.

Thu, Sep 22
ESPNU
4:30 PM Pacific
Rotation: 305
Odds: Georgia St. +2.5, Total: 63

Game Analysis

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Lean – Coastal Carolina (-2.5)  32   GEORGIA STATE  25

Both of these teams have been disappointing so far. Georgia State is 0-3 and coming off a loss as a huge favorite to Charlotte while Coastal Carolina is an ugly 3-0 with a defense that’s been 0.8 yards per play worse than average. The Chanticleers do have superstar quarterback Grayson McCall, however, and he’s having another great season with 70.4% completions and 9.5 yards per pass play. It’s going to be windy tonight but McCall should still have good success throwing against a Georgia State defense that’s allowed 70.2% completions and 7.8 yppp to quarterbacks that would combine to average 6.4 yppp versus an average defensive team.

Coastal Carolina  has been equally bad defending the pass but Darren Granger is struggling to complete passes (just 51.7%) despite facing teams that are collectively well below average in pass defense. The Panthers will try to run the ball, but they’re been 0.5 yards per rushing play worse than average while the Chanticleers’ defense has been a bit better than average defending the run.

My ratings favor Coastal Carolina by 5.5 points and Georgia State applies to a negative 138-242-7 ATS home underdog situation. I’ll lean with Coastal Carolina at -3 or less.

  • Team Stats
  • Game Log
  • Coastal Carolina
  • Georgia St.
CCAR
Offense
Defense

Rush

  • Run Plays 36.0 32.7
  • Run Yards 190.3 137.7
  • YPRP 5.3 4.2




Pass





  • Pass Comp 17.0 20.7
  • Pass Att 24.0 31.7
  • Comp % 70.8% 65.3%
  • Pass Yards 249.7 289.3
  • Sacks 1.3 3.7
  • Sack Yards 6.3 27.3
  • Sack % 5.3% 10.4%
  • Pass Plays 25.3 35.3
  • Net Pass Yards 243.3 262.0
  • YPPP 9.6 7.4

Total

  • Total Plays 61.3 68.0
  • Total Yards 433.7 399.7
  • YPPL 7.1 5.9

TO


  • Int 0.3 1.7
  • Int % 1.4% 5.3%
  • Fumbles 1.7 1.7
  • Turnovers 2.0 3.3
 
  • Points 35.7 27.0
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