(3) Clemson @

Louisville

Sat, Oct 19
ABC
9:00 AM Pacific
Rotation: 321
Odds: Louisville +24.5, Total: 62

Game Analysis

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Clemson (-24.5)  40   LOUISVILLE  21

Louisville is one of the nation’s most improved teams under former Appalachian State coach Scott Satterfield and both of their spread losses were due to late scores by the opposition (sadly, I suffered in both of those). My model likes Louisville again, although I have some concern about defense after giving up an average of 44 points the last 3 games. Clemson has not been as explosive this season as they were last season and overall Louisville’s defense has only been 0.3 yppl worse than average this season while their offense has been really good (37.3 points per game and 6.8 yppl against teams that would allow 5.7 yppl to an average team). Clemson’s defense should slow that attack down but my math model leans with Louisville and the Cardinals apply to a very good 206-96-5 ATS situation.

  • Team Stats
  • Game Log
  • Clemson
  • Louisville
CLEM
Offense
Defense

Rush

  • Run Plays 36.8 31.5
  • Run Yards 247.3 97.3
  • YPRP 6.9 3.8




Pass





  • Pass Comp 22.1 17.7
  • Pass Att 34.4 33.2
  • Comp % 64.4% 53.2%
  • Pass Yards 273.4 178.4
  • Sacks 1.1 3.5
  • Sack Yards 8.1 22.2
  • Sack % 3.2% 9.4%
  • Pass Plays 35.5 36.7
  • Net Pass Yards 265.3 156.2
  • YPPP 7.5 4.3

Total

  • Total Plays 72.3 68.1
  • Total Yards 520.7 275.7
  • YPPL 7.2 4.0

TO


  • Int 0.5 1.1
  • Int % 1.6% 3.4%
  • Fumbles 0.7 0.6
  • Turnovers 1.3 1.7
 
  • Points 39.2 12.3
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