Boston College
Game Analysis
Clemson (-17) 24 BOSTON COLLEGE 12
Boston College has a really good defense again this season, as the Eagles have yielded just 3.9 yards per play to teams that would combine to average 5.5 yppl to an average team and that unit should keep this game relatively close. Clemson had not averaged more than 5.4 yppl in any of their previous games against FBS competition until erupting last week against Louisville so it’s certainly not unreasonable to think that the Eagles’ great defense can keep the Tigers from scoring too many points.
The issue for Boston College will be scoring any points, as the Eagles’ impotent attack (4.8 yppl against teams that would allow 5.8 yppl to an average team) will struggle to sustain drives against an elite Clemson stop unit that’s yielded only 4.6 yppl to teams that would combine to average 6.6 yppl against an average team.
My math model favors Clemson to win 26-10 but Boston College applies to a very good 41-3 ATS subset of a 103-43-4 ATS double-digit home underdog situation, and I can certainly see a letdown from Clemson after last week’s exciting showdown win against Louisville. In fact, the Tigers apply to a negative 63-145-6 ATS road favorite letdown situation. Boston College is a strong technical play and the line is more than fair.
- Team Stats
- Game Log
- Clemson
- Boston College
Rush
- Run Plays 34.0 38.3
- Run Yards 152.0 152.8
- YPRP 4.6 4.6
Pass
- Pass Comp 24.5 18.0
- Pass Att 41.5 32.8
- Comp % 59.0% 55.0%
- Pass Yards 287.5 186.0
- Sacks 0.5 3.0
- Sack Yards 3.3 22.0
- Sack % 1.2% 8.4%
- Pass Plays 42.0 35.8
- Net Pass Yards 284.3 164.0
- YPPP 6.8 4.6
Total
- Total Plays 76.0 74.0
- Total Yards 439.5 338.8
- YPPL 5.8 4.6
TO
- Int 1.8 1.8
- Int % 4.2% 5.3%
- Fumbles 1.0 0.8
- Turnovers 2.8 2.5
- Points 35.2 16.0