Game Analysis
Lean – OLD DOMINION (-9.5) 35 Charlotte 21
I’ve been on Old Dominion a few times since they switched quarterbacks from the horrible D.J. Mack Jr. (3.6 yards per pass play) to Hayden Wolff, who has averaged 6.6 yppp in his 5 starts (against teams that would allow 7.3 yppp). Wolff is coming off his best game (9.6 yppp) against a better than average Middle Tennessee State pass defense and now faces the second worst pass defense in the nation. Charlotte has allowed 8.6 yppp to a slate of opposing quarterbacks that would combine to average just 5.8 yppp against an average FBS defense.
ODU also has an underrated defense that’s yielded just 5.6 yards per play this season to teams that would combine to average 5.6 yppl against an average defense. Charlotte is 0.1 yppl worse than average offensively with QB Chris Reynolds in the game and I don’t expect the 49ers will be able to stay within 10 points of what their defense gives up.
Rush
-
Run Plays
33.0
36.7
-
Run Yards
160.5
223.8
-
YPRP
4.9
6.1
Pass
-
Pass Comp
20.2
17.5
-
Pass Att
31.6
27.2
-
Comp %
63.8%
64.2%
-
Pass Yards
253.1
254.1
-
Sacks
1.9
1.4
-
Sack Yards
11.1
8.6
-
Sack %
5.7%
4.8%
-
Pass Plays
33.6
28.5
-
Net Pass Yards
242.0
245.5
-
YPPP
7.2
8.6
Total
-
Total Plays
66.6
65.3
-
Total Yards
402.5
469.3
-
YPPL
6.0
7.2
TO
-
Int
0.7
0.6
-
Int %
2.3%
2.0%
-
Fumbles
0.7
0.6
-
Turnovers
1.5
1.1
Rush
-
Run Plays
35.7
31.9
-
Run Yards
173.1
132.3
-
YPRP
4.8
4.1
Pass
-
Pass Comp
19.0
22.7
-
Pass Att
33.6
35.2
-
Comp %
56.5%
64.5%
-
Pass Yards
202.8
264.0
-
Sacks
2.8
1.8
-
Sack Yards
18.3
11.1
-
Sack %
7.7%
4.9%
-
Pass Plays
36.4
37.0
-
Net Pass Yards
184.5
252.9
-
YPPP
5.1
6.8
Total
-
Total Plays
72.1
68.9
-
Total Yards
357.6
385.2
-
YPPL
5.0
5.6
TO
-
Int
1.1
0.5
-
Int %
3.3%
1.4%
-
Fumbles
0.8
0.7
-
Turnovers
1.9
1.2
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
2021 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
09/03/21 Duke |
31-28 |
+6.5
W
|
39/41 |
159/350 |
4.1/8.5 |
0/2 |
19/20 |
30/29 |
319/190 |
0/0 |
1/3 |
10.3/5.9 |
478/540 |
6.8/7.4 |
09/11/21 Gardner-Webb |
38-10 |
0.0
W
|
45/38 |
311/182 |
6.9/4.8 |
0/1 |
15/6 |
25/22 |
163/51 |
2/0 |
1/2 |
6.3/2.1 |
474/233 |
6.7/3.8 |
09/18/21 @ Georgia St. |
9-20 |
+4.5
L
|
37/47 |
126/316 |
3.4/6.7 |
1/1 |
13/6 |
28/12 |
147/125 |
0/1 |
2/2 |
4.9/8.9 |
273/441 |
4.1/7.2 |
09/24/21 Middle Tenn St |
42-39 |
-3.0
T
|
37/22 |
230/124 |
6.2/5.6 |
1/0 |
25/28 |
36/40 |
336/378 |
0/0 |
0/1 |
9.3/9.2 |
566/502 |
7.8/8.0 |
10/02/21 @ Illinois |
14-24 |
+10.0
T
|
24/48 |
106/337 |
4.4/7.0 |
1/1 |
17/10 |
23/19 |
170/78 |
1/0 |
3/0 |
6.5/4.1 |
276/415 |
5.5/6.2 |
10/08/21 @ FIU |
45-33 |
-3.5
W
|
34/24 |
189/116 |
5.6/4.8 |
0/0 |
21/19 |
27/30 |
195/427 |
0/1 |
3/5 |
6.5/12.2 |
384/543 |
6.0/9.2 |
10/21/21 Florida Atl. |
9-38 |
+6.0
L
|
29/39 |
93/212 |
3.2/5.4 |
1/1 |
29/9 |
42/11 |
282/224 |
2/0 |
3/1 |
6.3/18.7 |
375/436 |
5.1/8.5 |
10/30/21 @ Western Kentucky |
13-45 |
+19.5
L
|
42/20 |
212/93 |
5.0/4.7 |
1/0 |
13/33 |
25/46 |
110/393 |
1/2 |
2/0 |
4.1/8.5 |
322/486 |
4.7/7.4 |
11/06/21 Rice |
31-24 |
-6.5
W
|
20/41 |
95/227 |
4.8/5.5 |
2/0 |
20/19 |
29/35 |
261/243 |
0/1 |
4/1 |
7.9/6.8 |
356/470 |
6.7/6.1 |
11/13/21 @ Louisiana Tech |
32-42 |
+7.0
L
|
26/42 |
114/180 |
4.4/4.3 |
0/0 |
25/21 |
42/27 |
434/324 |
1/1 |
2/0 |
9.9/12.0 |
548/504 |
7.8/7.3 |
11/20/21 Marshall |
28-49 |
+14.5
L
|
30/42 |
131/325 |
4.4/7.7 |
1/0 |
25/21 |
41/28 |
245/267 |
1/0 |
0/0 |
6.0/9.5 |
376/592 |
5.3/8.5 |
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
2021 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
09/03/21 @ Wake Forest |
10-42 |
+31.5
L
|
37/38 |
148/185 |
4.0/4.9 |
0/1 |
15/19 |
38/29 |
85/189 |
2/0 |
2/2 |
2.1/6.1 |
233/374 |
3.0/5.4 |
09/11/21 Hampton |
47-7 |
0.0
W
|
52/37 |
363/127 |
7.0/3.4 |
0/0 |
15/7 |
29/16 |
214/60 |
0/0 |
0/3 |
7.4/3.2 |
577/187 |
7.1/3.3 |
09/18/21 @ Liberty |
17-45 |
+27.0
L
|
30/38 |
100/209 |
3.3/5.5 |
0/1 |
15/21 |
27/28 |
108/215 |
1/0 |
5/3 |
3.4/6.9 |
208/424 |
3.4/6.1 |
09/25/21 Buffalo |
34-35 |
+13.0
W
|
41/36 |
245/108 |
6.0/3.0 |
2/1 |
24/17 |
41/26 |
191/191 |
1/0 |
4/0 |
4.2/7.3 |
436/299 |
5.1/4.8 |
10/02/21 @ UTEP |
21-28 |
+5.5
L
|
30/42 |
111/151 |
3.7/3.6 |
1/0 |
20/10 |
34/20 |
171/181 |
1/0 |
3/1 |
4.6/8.6 |
282/332 |
4.2/5.3 |
10/09/21 @ Marshall |
13-20 |
+21.0
W
|
45/29 |
222/107 |
4.9/3.7 |
0/0 |
10/30 |
23/46 |
83/283 |
2/2 |
4/3 |
3.1/5.8 |
305/390 |
4.2/5.0 |
10/16/21 Western Kentucky |
20-43 |
+12.5
L
|
32/26 |
157/135 |
4.9/5.2 |
1/0 |
26/37 |
41/54 |
289/397 |
2/1 |
5/0 |
6.3/7.4 |
446/532 |
5.7/6.7 |
10/30/21 Louisiana Tech |
23-20 |
+4.5
W
|
39/20 |
168/48 |
4.3/2.4 |
1/0 |
23/26 |
34/43 |
143/283 |
1/0 |
1/1 |
4.1/6.4 |
311/331 |
4.2/5.2 |
11/06/21 @ FIU |
47-24 |
-3.0
W
|
40/27 |
289/133 |
7.2/4.9 |
1/1 |
22/19 |
42/34 |
277/302 |
1/1 |
1/5 |
6.4/7.7 |
566/435 |
6.8/6.6 |
11/13/21 Florida Atl. |
30-16 |
+7.0
W
|
38/32 |
175/127 |
4.6/4.0 |
2/2 |
21/12 |
33/21 |
268/181 |
0/0 |
2/2 |
7.7/7.9 |
443/308 |
6.1/5.6 |
11/20/21 @ Middle Tenn St |
24-17 |
+4.0
W
|
25/31 |
116/120 |
4.6/3.9 |
0/1 |
14/36 |
23/51 |
230/307 |
0/1 |
1/1 |
9.6/5.9 |
346/427 |
7.1/5.1 |