(14) BYU @


Fri, Oct 16
6:30 PM Pacific
Rotation: 109
Odds: Houston +5, Total: 62.5

Game Analysis

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Brigham Young (-5)  30   HOUSTON  27

BYU struggled last week for the first time this season, beating UTSA by just 7 points after pounding Navy, Troy and Louisiana Tech by an average score of 49-8. We’ll find out more about the Cougars in this game, as Houston is a good team this season. The Cougars return 9 starters from an offense that was 0.6 yards per play better than average with Clayton Tune at quarterback last season and I mentioned last week that I expected a vastly improved defense based on the talent upgrade. Houston returns 9 starters from last year’s defense and 3 of them have been replaced in the starting lineup by transfers from power 5 schools that had to sit out last season. Coach Holgorsen said that the scout team defense last season was the greatest in college football history. That’s most likely an exaggeration but I don’t doubt that the talent of last year’s scout team was better than last year’s active defense and some of those talented players are now in the lineup while the returning starters that lost their spots add to the depth.

Houston won their opening game of the season last week, beating Tulane 49-31 and the defense was much better than the score indicates. Tulane scored twice on defense early in the game and the Cougars held the Green Wave offense to just 217 yards at 3.1 yards per play. BYU will get their first test against a strong defense and it will be interesting to see how the incredibly accurate Zach Wilson (completed 82 of his 101 passes!) performs in this game. If Houston can limit the BYU pass attack then they will probably win this game, as the Cougars have been below average running the ball (5.5 yards per rushing play against teams that would allow 5.6 yprp to an average team) and Brigham Young’s defense has been just 0.2 yppl better than average, as the 4.6 yards per play they’ve allowed have been against teams that would combine to average only 4.8 yppl against an average defensive team. I’ll lean with Houston and I like the under here, as I think Houston’s defense is underrated.

  • Team Stats
  • Game Log
  • BYU
  • Houston


  • Run Plays 41.0 25.0
  • Run Yards 217.8 75.5
  • YPRP 5.5 3.7


  • Pass Comp 22.5 18.3
  • Pass Att 28.3 27.5
  • Comp % 79.6% 66.4%
  • Pass Yards 342.0 183.0
  • Sacks 0.5 3.3
  • Sack Yards 5.8 18.0
  • Sack % 1.7% 10.6%
  • Pass Plays 28.8 30.8
  • Net Pass Yards 336.3 165.0
  • YPPP 11.7 5.4


  • Total Plays 69.8 55.8
  • Total Yards 559.8 258.5
  • YPPL 8.0 4.6


  • Int 0.3 0.8
  • Int % 0.9% 2.7%
  • Fumbles 0.5 0.3
  • Turnovers 0.8 1.0
  • Points 43.8 11.0
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