Game Analysis
Buffalo (-20) 35 BALL STATE 20
Buffalo’s big play pass attack should have better than usual success against a Ball State secondary that gives up big plays, but the Bulls have a horrible pass defense too (7.1 yppp allowed to quarterbacks that would combine to average just 5.3 yppp against an average team) so Ball State should be able to top their 18.4 points per game average. My math model likes the huge home dog.
Rush
-
Run Plays
31.8
43.8
-
Run Yards
126.7
206.9
-
YPRP
4.3
4.9
Pass
-
Pass Comp
21.1
18.1
-
Pass Att
36.2
28.2
-
Comp %
58.3%
64.2%
-
Pass Yards
295.8
222.0
-
Sacks
1.4
1.3
-
Sack Yards
10.3
9.1
-
Sack %
3.8%
4.5%
-
Pass Plays
37.7
29.6
-
Net Pass Yards
285.5
212.9
-
YPPP
7.6
7.2
Total
-
Total Plays
69.4
73.3
-
Total Yards
422.5
428.9
-
YPPL
6.1
5.8
TO
-
Int
0.6
0.7
-
Int %
1.5%
2.4%
-
Fumbles
0.8
0.6
-
Turnovers
1.3
1.2
Rush
-
Run Plays
36.5
35.6
-
Run Yards
140.3
192.3
-
YPRP
4.3
5.8
Pass
-
Pass Comp
20.0
15.5
-
Pass Att
34.7
26.0
-
Comp %
57.6%
59.6%
-
Pass Yards
189.2
230.5
-
Sacks
3.1
2.2
-
Sack Yards
17.4
15.2
-
Sack %
8.2%
7.8%
-
Pass Plays
37.8
28.2
-
Net Pass Yards
171.8
215.3
-
YPPP
4.5
7.6
Total
-
Total Plays
74.3
63.8
-
Total Yards
329.5
422.8
-
YPPL
4.4
6.6
TO
-
Int
1.1
0.4
-
Int %
3.2%
1.5%
-
Fumbles
0.6
0.6
-
Turnovers
1.7
1.0
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
| 2017 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
| Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
| 08/31/17 @ Minnesota |
7-17 |
+24.0
W
|
21/51 |
54/169 |
2.6/3.3 |
0/0 |
22/19 |
42/32 |
208/239 |
1/1 |
1/0 |
4.8/7.5 |
262/408 |
4.1/4.9 |
| 09/09/17 @ Army |
17-21 |
+15.5
W
|
21/63 |
142/326 |
6.8/5.2 |
2/0 |
9/2 |
16/8 |
174/17 |
0/0 |
2/0 |
9.7/2.1 |
316/343 |
8.1/4.8 |
| 09/16/17 Colgate |
33-10 |
0.0
W
|
58/36 |
302/185 |
5.2/5.1 |
0/0 |
9/6 |
16/23 |
184/38 |
0/0 |
0/2 |
11.5/1.5 |
486/223 |
6.6/3.7 |
| 09/23/17 Florida Atl. |
34-31 |
-2.0
W
|
52/36 |
226/271 |
4.3/7.5 |
0/0 |
18/17 |
27/29 |
237/143 |
0/1 |
2/1 |
8.2/4.8 |
463/414 |
5.7/6.3 |
| 09/30/17 @ Kent State |
27-13 |
-7.0
W
|
43/36 |
237/152 |
5.5/4.2 |
0/0 |
11/19 |
18/31 |
142/292 |
1/1 |
0/4 |
7.9/8.3 |
379/444 |
6.2/6.3 |
| 10/07/17 Western Mich |
68-71 |
+7.0
W
|
33/66 |
96/380 |
2.9/5.8 |
2/0 |
35/24 |
61/31 |
595/287 |
0/2 |
0/1 |
9.8/9.0 |
691/667 |
7.4/6.8 |
| 10/14/17 Northern Ill |
13-14 |
+6.5
W
|
23/54 |
68/239 |
3.0/4.4 |
0/2 |
21/20 |
34/31 |
315/207 |
1/0 |
4/2 |
8.3/6.3 |
383/446 |
6.3/5.1 |
| 10/21/17 @ Miami Ohio |
14-24 |
+2.5
L
|
22/40 |
87/176 |
4.0/4.4 |
1/0 |
17/13 |
41/20 |
184/177 |
1/0 |
3/0 |
4.2/8.9 |
271/353 |
4.1/5.9 |
| 10/28/17 @ Akron |
20-21 |
+2.5
W
|
33/22 |
146/108 |
4.4/4.9 |
0/0 |
34/21 |
50/29 |
308/273 |
1/1 |
1/1 |
6.0/9.1 |
454/381 |
5.4/7.3 |
| 11/07/17 Bowling Green |
38-28 |
-10.5
L
|
38/26 |
177/123 |
4.7/4.7 |
2/3 |
23/28 |
37/43 |
406/281 |
0/0 |
0/3 |
11.0/6.1 |
583/404 |
7.8/5.6 |
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
| 2017 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
| Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
| 09/02/17 @ Illinois |
21-24 |
+7.0
W
|
48/26 |
190/98 |
4.0/3.8 |
1/0 |
21/10 |
34/19 |
185/121 |
1/1 |
3/4 |
5.0/5.3 |
375/219 |
4.4/4.5 |
| 09/09/17 UAB |
51-31 |
-14.0
W
|
41/46 |
168/368 |
4.1/8.0 |
0/2 |
23/15 |
35/24 |
217/132 |
0/0 |
0/3 |
6.2/4.9 |
385/500 |
5.1/6.8 |
| 09/16/17 Tennessee Tech |
28-13 |
0.0
W
|
30/29 |
170/151 |
5.7/5.2 |
1/0 |
23/19 |
31/34 |
238/208 |
2/1 |
0/4 |
7.7/5.5 |
408/359 |
6.7/5.4 |
| 09/23/17 @ Western Kentucky |
21-33 |
+11.5
L
|
30/25 |
108/87 |
3.6/3.5 |
1/0 |
18/28 |
36/44 |
266/290 |
2/2 |
1/4 |
7.2/6.0 |
374/377 |
5.6/5.2 |
| 09/30/17 @ Western Mich |
3-55 |
+14.0
L
|
26/43 |
93/169 |
3.6/3.9 |
1/0 |
23/15 |
43/21 |
168/245 |
1/0 |
3/0 |
3.7/11.7 |
261/414 |
3.6/6.5 |
| 10/07/17 @ Akron |
3-31 |
+6.5
L
|
39/29 |
191/140 |
4.9/4.8 |
0/0 |
24/18 |
46/31 |
185/243 |
3/0 |
5/2 |
3.6/7.4 |
376/383 |
4.2/6.2 |
| 10/21/17 Central Mich |
9-56 |
+2.5
L
|
33/43 |
122/264 |
3.7/6.1 |
1/1 |
20/16 |
34/23 |
94/191 |
0/0 |
8/2 |
2.2/7.6 |
216/455 |
2.9/6.7 |
| 10/26/17 Toledo |
17-58 |
+25.5
L
|
43/33 |
218/339 |
5.1/10.3 |
0/1 |
18/8 |
37/18 |
91/267 |
0/0 |
3/0 |
2.3/14.8 |
309/606 |
3.7/11.9 |
| 11/02/17 @ Eastern Mich |
14-56 |
+24.0
L
|
39/39 |
188/223 |
4.8/5.7 |
1/1 |
11/15 |
21/22 |
158/259 |
1/0 |
1/1 |
7.2/11.3 |
346/482 |
5.7/7.8 |
| 11/09/17 @ Northern Ill |
17-63 |
+31.0
L
|
36/43 |
129/236 |
3.6/5.5 |
0/1 |
19/11 |
30/24 |
116/197 |
1/0 |
7/2 |
3.1/7.6 |
245/433 |
3.4/6.3 |
Buffalo
@ 
Ball St.