Boise St. @

Utah St.

Sat, Sep 25
9:00 AM Pacific
Rotation: 339
Odds: Utah St. +9, Total: 69.5

Game Analysis

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Boise State (-9)  38   UTAH STATE  34

I played Utah State over 3.5 wins as one of my season win total Best Bets and the Aggies are 3-0 straight up, all 3 as an underdog, including wins at Washington State and Air Force. Boise has been outplayed by 57 total yards per game and by 0.1 yards per play despite facing an average schedule of opponents. Last week the Broncos lost at home to Oklahoma State and their competitive loss at UCF to open the season was misleading (outgained by 260 yards at by 1.8 yppl).

Utah State has struggled defensively (6.8 yppl allowed to teams that would combine to average only 5.3 yppl against an average defense) but the Aggies have moved the ball well (543 yards per game at 6.7 yppl) and should have pretty good success against a mediocre Boise defense. Utah State’s starting quarterback Logan Bonner is listed as questionable but he’s likely to play and I have no problem with backup Andrew Peasley if Bonner doesn’t play. Peasley is a great runner that has 484 career run years on just 38 runs and he appears to have improved as a passer. Utah State would project to be 1.0 yards per rushing play better with Peasley and 0.9 yards per pass play worse, so the net is pretty close to null.

Boise was missing star receiver Stefan Cobbs last week and struggled offensively. I’ll assume that Cobbs will play (although there has been no update on his status as of Friday night) but I still think Utah State is an underrated team.

  • Team Stats
  • Game Log
  • Boise St.
  • Utah St.
BOIS
Offense
Defense

Rush

  • Run Plays 28.7 45.0
  • Run Yards 91.7 218.3
  • YPRP 3.2 4.9




Pass





  • Pass Comp 21.3 15.7
  • Pass Att 33.0 25.3
  • Comp % 64.6% 61.9%
  • Pass Yards 281.7 210.7
  • Sacks 2.0 2.0
  • Sack Yards 13.3 11.7
  • Sack % 5.7% 7.3%
  • Pass Plays 35.0 27.3
  • Net Pass Yards 268.3 199.0
  • YPPP 7.7 7.3

Total

  • Total Plays 63.7 72.3
  • Total Yards 360.0 417.3
  • YPPL 5.7 5.8

TO


  • Int 0.7 1.7
  • Int % 2.0% 6.6%
  • Fumbles 0.7 1.3
  • Turnovers 1.3 3.0
 
  • Points 35.0 23.3
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