Ball St. @

Georgia Southern

Sat, Sep 24
3:00 PM Pacific
Rotation: 353
Odds: Georgia Southern -9.5, Total: 67.5

Game Analysis

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GEORGIA SOUTHERN (-9.5)  34   Ball State  28

Georgia Southern is running their offense as a really fast pace but the total has adjusted too much and the Eagles are not going to continue to convert on 63% of their 3rd and 4th-down plays (likely around 45% going forward). That positive variance has Georgia Southern’s offense overrated and they miss WR Sam Kenerson, who had 130 yards on 8 targets in the first two games before getting injured. The Eagles averaged only 4.1 yards per pass play and scored 21 points without him last week and Ball State’s defense is decent.

I’d lean with Ball State at +10 or more.

  • Team Stats
  • Game Log
  • Ball St.
  • Georgia Southern
BALL
Offense
Defense

Rush

  • Run Plays 34.0 41.0
  • Run Yards 166.0 186.0
  • YPRP 4.9 4.5




Pass





  • Pass Comp 25.7 20.0
  • Pass Att 42.3 33.7
  • Comp % 60.6% 59.4%
  • Pass Yards 258.0 216.3
  • Sacks 0.3 0.3
  • Sack Yards 3.0 0.3
  • Sack % 0.8% 1.0%
  • Pass Plays 42.7 34.0
  • Net Pass Yards 255.0 216.0
  • YPPP 6.0 6.4

Total

  • Total Plays 76.7 75.0
  • Total Yards 421.0 402.0
  • YPPL 5.5 5.4

TO


  • Int 1.0 1.0
  • Int % 2.4% 3.0%
  • Fumbles 0.7 1.0
  • Turnovers 1.7 2.0
 
  • Points 23.7 32.0
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