Ball St. vs

(23) Buffalo

at Detroit
Fri, Dec 18
4:30 PM Pacific
Rotation: 197
Odds: Buffalo -13.5, Total: 69

Game Analysis

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Buffalo (-13.5)  38   Ball State  30

Buffalo has one of the best running backs in the nation, as Jaret Patterson has 1025 rushing yards and 18 rushing touchdowns in just 5 games. However, Buffalo ran for just 5.1 yards per rushing play in two games against teams with decent run defenses (Northern Illinois and Miami-Ohio) and Ball State has allowed just 4.6 yprp in their 6 games (against teams that would average 4.6 yprp against an average defense). I still project Buffalo to run the ball well and quarterback Kyle Vantrease should be very efficient against a sub-par Cardinals’ pass defense but Ball State should be able to stay close.

The Cardinals are averaging 33.7 points and 6.0 yppl (against teams that would allow 6.3 yppl to an average FBS offense) and they’ll be facing a Buffalo defense that is 0.6 yppl worse than average (5.4 yppl allowed to teams that would average only 4.8 yppl against an average defense), which is a bit worse than what Ball State’s offense has faced on average this season. I project 430 yards at 6.1 yppl for the Cardinals, which should be enough to stay competitive given how good their run defense is (by MAC standards).

  • Team Stats
  • Game Log
  • Ball St.
  • Buffalo
BALL
Offense
Defense

Rush

  • Run Plays 40.3 36.0
  • Run Yards 181.5 147.8
  • YPRP 5.0 4.6




Pass





  • Pass Comp 22.0 23.2
  • Pass Att 33.2 34.7
  • Comp % 66.3% 66.8%
  • Pass Yards 279.0 284.2
  • Sacks 3.3 2.3
  • Sack Yards 20.2 17.5
  • Sack % 9.1% 6.3%
  • Pass Plays 36.5 37.0
  • Net Pass Yards 258.8 266.7
  • YPPP 7.1 7.2

Total

  • Total Plays 76.8 73.0
  • Total Yards 460.5 432.0
  • YPPL 6.0 5.9

TO


  • Int 0.8 0.8
  • Int % 2.5% 2.4%
  • Fumbles 0.2 1.0
  • Turnovers 1.0 1.8
 
  • Points 33.7 27.5
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