Arizona St. @

Utah

Sat, Nov 4
Pac-12 Network
11:00 AM Pacific
Rotation: 363
Odds: Utah -11, Total: 39.5

Game Analysis

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Lean – Arizona State (+11)  16   UTAH  22

Arizona State has a very good defense that’s yielded just 5.2 yards per play to teams that would combine to average 6.1 yppl against an average defense and the Sun Devils’ offense has perked up the last 4 games since inserting Trenton Bourguet at quarterback. ASU has covered the spread in 5 consecutive games and Utah’s sub-par offense (5.1 yppl against teams that would allow 5.6 yppl to an average team) makes it a challenge to win by a margin against a good defensive team.

My math model favors Utah by just 8 points with Bourguet at quarterback for the Sun Devils and dogs of 7 or more tend to cover in games with low totals.

  • Team Stats
  • Game Log
  • Arizona St.
  • Utah
ASU
Offense
Defense

Rush

  • Run Plays 28.3 25.9
  • Run Yards 127.5 128.8
  • YPRP 4.5 5.0




Pass





  • Pass Comp 22.3 22.9
  • Pass Att 37.5 36.6
  • Comp % 59.3% 62.5%
  • Pass Yards 252.6 236.6
  • Sacks 2.8 2.8
  • Sack Yards 14.5 22.9
  • Sack % 6.8% 7.0%
  • Pass Plays 40.3 39.4
  • Net Pass Yards 238.1 213.8
  • YPPP 5.9 5.4

Total

  • Total Plays 68.5 65.3
  • Total Yards 365.6 342.5
  • YPPL 5.3 5.2

TO


  • Int 1.1 0.3
  • Int % 3.0% 0.7%
  • Fumbles 0.6 0.4
  • Turnovers 1.8 0.6
 
  • Points 19.6 26.5
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