Game Analysis
Alabama (-13 ½) 35 Tennessee 21
I wish I had an opinion on this game. My math model favors Alabama by only 13 points and the Vols apply to a negative 34-85-3 ATS letdown situation based on their close loss to Texas A&M last week (in double-OT). Tennessee has played better recently, even in last week’s loss, but Alabama is great on both sides of the football, averaging 7.0 yppl on offense while allowing just 4.6 yppl to their opponents, despite playing a tougher than average schedule of teams. Tennessee is capable of keeping this game competitive if their offense plays like it has the last 2 ½ games, but I’ll pass.
Rush
-
Run Plays
39.2
27.2
-
Run Yards
243.3
73.3
-
YPRP
6.5
3.8
Pass
-
Pass Comp
19.2
18.0
-
Pass Att
29.8
33.7
-
Comp %
64.3%
53.5%
-
Pass Yards
253.2
221.5
-
Sacks
1.7
3.7
-
Sack Yards
10.8
29.7
-
Sack %
5.3%
9.8%
-
Pass Plays
31.5
37.3
-
Net Pass Yards
242.3
191.8
-
YPPP
7.7
5.1
Total
-
Total Plays
70.7
64.5
-
Total Yards
496.5
294.8
-
YPPL
7.0
4.6
TO
-
Int
0.3
1.0
-
Int %
1.1%
3.0%
-
Fumbles
1.0
1.0
-
Turnovers
1.3
2.0
Rush
-
Run Plays
41.5
38.8
-
Run Yards
193.5
188.8
-
YPRP
5.1
5.1
Pass
-
Pass Comp
17.5
19.2
-
Pass Att
30.2
33.0
-
Comp %
58.0%
58.1%
-
Pass Yards
232.0
215.7
-
Sacks
2.3
1.5
-
Sack Yards
19.0
8.5
-
Sack %
7.2%
4.3%
-
Pass Plays
32.5
34.5
-
Net Pass Yards
213.0
207.2
-
YPPP
6.6
6.0
Total
-
Total Plays
74.0
73.3
-
Total Yards
425.5
404.5
-
YPPL
5.8
5.5
TO
-
Int
1.3
0.8
-
Int %
4.4%
2.5%
-
Fumbles
1.3
1.3
-
Turnovers
2.7
2.2
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
2016 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
09/03/16 USC |
52-6 |
-12.0
W
|
42/26 |
263/101 |
6.3/3.9 |
1/0 |
12/18 |
18/37 |
202/110 |
1/1 |
3/3 |
9.6/2.8 |
465/211 |
7.4/3.2 |
09/10/16 Western Kentucky |
38-10 |
-28.0
T
|
36/18 |
158/62 |
4.4/3.4 |
1/0 |
25/19 |
42/38 |
336/166 |
0/2 |
2/4 |
7.6/4.0 |
494/228 |
6.2/3.8 |
09/17/16 @ Mississippi |
48-43 |
-11.0
L
|
45/30 |
355/120 |
7.9/4.0 |
1/1 |
19/26 |
31/41 |
149/405 |
0/0 |
1/2 |
4.7/9.4 |
504/525 |
6.5/7.2 |
09/24/16 Kent State |
48-0 |
-44.0
W
|
44/27 |
293/104 |
6.7/3.9 |
0/1 |
21/7 |
33/16 |
212/58 |
0/0 |
2/3 |
6.1/3.1 |
505/162 |
6.4/3.5 |
10/01/16 Kentucky |
34-6 |
-35.5
L
|
34/32 |
192/109 |
5.6/3.4 |
1/2 |
25/13 |
38/22 |
302/61 |
0/0 |
2/4 |
7.6/2.3 |
494/170 |
6.7/2.9 |
10/08/16 @ Arkansas |
49-30 |
-14.0
W
|
34/30 |
264/122 |
7.8/4.1 |
2/2 |
13/25 |
17/48 |
253/351 |
1/3 |
0/6 |
14.9/6.5 |
517/473 |
10.1/5.6 |
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
2016 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
09/01/16 Appalachian State |
20-13 |
-21.5
L
|
41/43 |
156/186 |
3.8/4.3 |
1/0 |
16/15 |
29/23 |
173/108 |
1/1 |
2/0 |
5.6/4.7 |
329/294 |
4.6/4.5 |
09/10/16 Virginia Tech |
45-24 |
-11.5
W
|
44/41 |
253/230 |
5.8/5.6 |
0/5 |
10/20 |
19/28 |
81/195 |
1/0 |
2/3 |
3.9/6.3 |
334/425 |
5.1/5.9 |
09/17/16 Ohio |
28-19 |
-27.0
L
|
39/30 |
227/88 |
5.8/2.9 |
0/0 |
19/23 |
27/46 |
176/230 |
1/0 |
3/0 |
5.9/5.0 |
403/318 |
5.8/4.2 |
09/24/16 Florida |
38-28 |
-6.0
W
|
44/29 |
192/112 |
4.4/3.9 |
0/1 |
16/23 |
33/39 |
311/290 |
2/1 |
1/2 |
9.1/7.1 |
503/402 |
6.4/5.7 |
10/01/16 @ Georgia |
34-31 |
-4.0
L
|
35/42 |
151/203 |
4.3/4.8 |
2/1 |
15/17 |
25/28 |
166/190 |
1/1 |
2/3 |
6.1/6.1 |
317/393 |
5.1/5.4 |
10/08/16 @ Texas A&M |
38-45 |
+7.0
T
|
46/48 |
296/365 |
6.4/7.6 |
5/1 |
29/17 |
48/34 |
371/230 |
2/2 |
4/1 |
7.1/6.6 |
667/595 |
6.8/7.2 |