There is no free analysis for college football at this time.

May 16, 2012

I post free analysis almost every day during basketball season on anywhere from 1 to 5 games and those opinions have been profitable over the years.

My Wednesday lean on the New York-Miami Under lost. I'm 11-8 on my free Best Bets and 115-105-7 on my free opinions this season.

Last season I was 12-6 on my free Best Bets and 105-88-2 on my free opinions and I am 38-30-1 on my Free Best Bets and 428-378-12 on my free opinions the previous 4 seasons.

Wednesday, May 16, 2012
Boston at PHILADELPHIA (-2)
My ratings favor Philadelphia by 2 points with a total of 173 points and there are no significant situations favoring either side. With my ratings being so close to the line on both the side and the total I have no opinion on this game.

L.A. Lakers at OKLAHOMA CITY (-8)
Oklahoma City destroyed Los Angeles in game 1 by 29 points for an easy Best Bet win, but the situation slightly favors the Lakers in game 2. However, my ratings favor the Thunder by 9 points and by 8 points if I factor in the situational advantage for the Lakers – so there is no value in the side of this game. This game does apply to a 31-9-1 OVER angle, but the pace in game 1 (i.e. the number of possessions) was actually slower than projected and the game went well over the total because of the much higher than expected combined offensive efficiency (i.e. points per possession). The over/under line in game 1 was 191 points and my math model projects 193 total points if this game is played at the expected pace. However, I’d get just 187 points if the pace of the game is the same as it was in game 1. The over/under in this game is a few points higher than it was in game 1 even though the pace of game 1 was slower than expected, so I don’t really see the value in playing the over angle that applies. So, I have no opinion on this game.