My Money Management essays describe how to size wagers in order to optimize bankroll growth for the greatest long-term risk adjusted return.

There are many trade-offs inherent within positive expectation markets. I describe how to weigh risk and return, how to balance net win probability with expected value, as well as how to consider the varied advantages of flat growth against compounding growth.

I also reveal many common pitfalls in Sports Betting that often go overlooked, and explain how to avoid the mistakes of so many reckless betters and touts who often fail to show any profit despite picking a good percentage of winners.

Sports Investing Essays

Topic: Money Management

An overview of optimal bet sizing and careful money management.

A brief, non-technical summary of four basic strategies designed to fit unique risk profiles.

Kelly Criterion

Optimal growth formulas capture the greatest long term, risk-adjusted reward.

A graphical demonstration of the Kelly Criterion applied to bet sizing over a long period.

The Dangers of Over-betting and Over-Estimating your Edge

The mathematics which cause some winning sports bettors to actually lose money, and how to avoid the common pitfalls of un-optimized bet sizing.

The (Very Dangerous) Difference between Simultaneous and Sequential Events

More common mistakes made by bettors who do not understand the goals of long-term optimization.

Contrasting Flat Betting with Kelly Betting

Considering risk, return, investment duration, and whether to maximize expected value or win probability.